Brasiliense

Brasiliense produces a moderate scoring rate of 2.56 total goals per match across tracked fixtures in the 2026 Brasiliense season. That equates to roughly 1.28 goals per team per game - a baseline figure used by StatsBrain to calibrate expected-goals output for every fixture in the division. Corner frequency averages 9.48 per game, reflecting the typical territorial and set-piece volume in this league.

Home teams average 1.18 goals per game in Brasiliense compared with 1.38 for away sides - indicating broadly balanced scoring returns, suggesting venue has a limited effect on goal output in this sample. This home/away split is incorporated into StatsBrain's pre-match simulation engine for every Brasiliense fixture.

The relegation battle is tight: Brasília begin the danger zone in 9th with 3 points, just 3 points behind Paranoá in safety. ARUC prop up the table with 3 points and a 3:20 goal record after 9 matches.

Samambaia carry the strongest recent form in Brasiliense with 3 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: W-W-W-D-L). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, ARUC (L-L-L-L-L in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

Over the last 20 completed Brasiliense fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 30% (6/20), draws made up 25% and away wins 45%. Those matches averaged 2.75 goals per game - the season-wide tracked average is 2.56, so recent scoring is closely aligned with the longer sample.

StatsBrain's Brasiliense modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.