Liga Pro

Liga Pro produces a defensively compact average of 2.08 total goals per match across tracked fixtures in the 2026 Liga Pro season. That equates to roughly 1.04 goals per team per game - a baseline figure used by StatsBrain to calibrate expected-goals output for every fixture in the division. Corner frequency averages 8.96 per game, reflecting the typical territorial and set-piece volume in this league.

Home teams average 1.04 goals per game in Liga Pro compared with 1.04 for away sides - indicating broadly balanced scoring returns, suggesting venue has a limited effect on goal output in this sample. This home/away split is incorporated into StatsBrain's pre-match simulation engine for every Liga Pro fixture.

The relegation battle is tight: Delfin begin the danger zone in 15th with 20 points, just 1 point behind Libertad in safety. Manta prop up the table with 13 points and a 7:24 goal record after 19 matches.

Independiente del Valle carry the strongest recent form in Liga Pro with 4 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: L-W-W-W-W). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, Orense (L-L-L-D-L in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

By squad market value, Independiente del Valle lead Liga Pro at €31.00m (1st in the table, 46 pts), ahead of LDU Quito at €17.80m. StatsBrain stores Transfermarkt valuations alongside performance data to contextualise each club's results relative to squad investment.

StatsBrain publishes 11 active pre-match statistical projections for the 2026 Liga Pro season. The next fixture on the calendar is Delfin vs Macará. 4 of these 11 fixtures carry a model confidence score of 75 or above, indicating a clearer separation in the projected outcome distribution. Each linked match page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.

Over the last 20 completed Liga Pro fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 30% (6/20), draws made up 30% and away wins 40%. Those matches averaged 1.90 goals per game - the season-wide tracked average is 2.08, so recent scoring is closely aligned with the longer sample. Across the current upcoming slate, the model assigns an average 45% home / 24% draw / 31% away probability split - a direct comparison point against the observed 30% / 30% / 40% outcome mix from recent results.

Simulated scorelines across the upcoming Liga Pro slate average 1.36 total goals per fixture, versus 2.08 from completed matches this season. The strongest current projection is LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte (89% model confidence, simulated scoreline 1-2 - 0, probability split 89% home · 11% draw · 0% away). The model's dominant signal for that fixture is: Awaiting Data.

StatsBrain's Liga Pro modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.