Ligue 1

Ligue 1 produces a defensively compact average of 2.00 total goals per match across tracked fixtures in the 2025/2026 Ligue 1 season. That equates to roughly 1.00 goals per team per game - a baseline figure used by StatsBrain to calibrate expected-goals output for every fixture in the division. Corner frequency averages 2.07 per game, reflecting the typical territorial and set-piece volume in this league.

Home teams average 0.95 goals per game in Ligue 1 compared with 1.05 for away sides - indicating broadly balanced scoring returns, suggesting venue has a limited effect on goal output in this sample. This home/away split is incorporated into StatsBrain's pre-match simulation engine for every Ligue 1 fixture.

The relegation battle is tight: Olympique Sport d'Abobo begin the danger zone in 15th with 32 points, just 1 point behind Zoman in safety. Racing d'Abidjan prop up the table with 27 points and a 24:33 goal record after 30 matches.

AFAD carry the strongest recent form in Ligue 1 with 5 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: W-W-W-W-W). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, Racing d'Abidjan (L-L-L-L-L in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

Over the last 20 completed Ligue 1 fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 25% (5/20), draws made up 30% and away wins 45%. Those matches averaged 2.25 goals per game - the season-wide tracked average is 2.00, so recent scoring is closely aligned with the longer sample.

StatsBrain's Ligue 1 modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.