NWSL

NWSL produces a defensively compact average of 2.49 total goals per match across tracked fixtures in the 2026 NWSL season. That equates to roughly 1.25 goals per team per game - a baseline figure used by StatsBrain to calibrate expected-goals output for every fixture in the division. Corner frequency averages 9.44 per game, reflecting the typical territorial and set-piece volume in this league.

Home teams average 1.38 goals per game in NWSL compared with 1.11 for away sides - indicatinga consistent home-scoring advantage that the model weights positively for home-side expected goals. This home/away split is incorporated into StatsBrain's pre-match simulation engine for every NWSL fixture.

The relegation battle is tight: Chicago Stars W begin the danger zone in 15th with 9 points, just 0 points behind Boston Legacy W in safety. Racing Louisville W prop up the table with 5 points and a 12:19 goal record after 11 matches.

Washington Spirit W carry the strongest recent form in NWSL with 4 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: W-W-W-L-W). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, Bay FC W (D-D-L-L-L in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

Over the last 20 completed NWSL fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 50% (10/20), draws made up 15% and away wins 35%. Those matches averaged 2.45 goals per game - the season-wide tracked average is 2.49, so recent scoring is closely aligned with the longer sample.

StatsBrain's NWSL modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.