Paulista Série B

Paulista Série B produces a moderate scoring rate of 2.62 total goals per match across tracked fixtures in the 2026 Paulista Série B season. That equates to roughly 1.31 goals per team per game - a baseline figure used by StatsBrain to calibrate expected-goals output for every fixture in the division. Corner frequency averages 5.21 per game, reflecting the typical territorial and set-piece volume in this league.

Home teams average 1.48 goals per game in Paulista Série B compared with 1.14 for away sides - indicatinga consistent home-scoring advantage that the model weights positively for home-side expected goals. This home/away split is incorporated into StatsBrain's pre-match simulation engine for every Paulista Série B fixture.

The relegation battle is tight: Santa Fé SP begin the danger zone in 22nd with 3 points, just 1 point behind Votoraty in safety. Catanduvense prop up the table with 0 points and a 4:30 goal record after 7 matches.

Independente SP carry the strongest recent form in Paulista Série B with 5 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: W-W-W-W-W). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, Santa Fé SP (L-L-L-L-L in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

StatsBrain publishes 12 active pre-match statistical projections for the 2026 Paulista Série B season. The next fixture on the calendar is Guarulhos vs Paulínia FU. 7 of these 12 fixtures carry a model confidence score of 75 or above, indicating a clearer separation in the projected outcome distribution. Each linked match page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.

Over the last 20 completed Paulista Série B fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 55% (11/20), draws made up 15% and away wins 30%. Those matches averaged 3.15 goals per game - the season-wide tracked average is 2.62, a slightly higher short-term scoring rate than the full-season baseline. Across the current upcoming slate, the model assigns an average 43% home / 19% draw / 37% away probability split - a direct comparison point against the observed 55% / 15% / 30% outcome mix from recent results.

Simulated scorelines across the upcoming Paulista Série B slate average 1.67 total goals per fixture, versus 2.62 from completed matches this season. The strongest current projection is José Bonifácio vs Riopretano (98% model confidence, simulated scoreline 1-2 - 0, probability split 98% home · 2% draw · 0% away). The model's dominant signal for that fixture is: Awaiting Data.

StatsBrain's Paulista Série B modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.