Serie C

Serie C produces a defensively compact average of 1.95 total goals per match across tracked fixtures in the 2026 Serie C season. That equates to roughly 0.97 goals per team per game - a baseline figure used by StatsBrain to calibrate expected-goals output for every fixture in the division. Corner frequency averages 11.50 per game, reflecting the typical territorial and set-piece volume in this league.

Home teams average 1.05 goals per game in Serie C compared with 0.90 for away sides - indicating broadly balanced scoring returns, suggesting venue has a limited effect on goal output in this sample. This home/away split is incorporated into StatsBrain's pre-match simulation engine for every Serie C fixture.

The relegation battle is tight: Barra FC begin the danger zone in 18th with 15 points, just 1 point behind Itabaiana in safety. Anápolis prop up the table with 9 points and a 9:18 goal record after 14 matches.

Santa Cruz carry the strongest recent form in Serie C with 4 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: W-L-W-W-W). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, Ituano (D-D-D-L-L in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

Over the last 20 completed Serie C fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 45% (9/20), draws made up 15% and away wins 40%. Those matches averaged 1.95 goals per game - the season-wide tracked average is 1.95, so recent scoring is closely aligned with the longer sample.

StatsBrain's Serie C modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.