Serie C

Serie C produces a defensively compact average of 2.14 total goals per match across tracked fixtures in the 2026 Serie C season. That equates to roughly 1.07 goals per team per game - a baseline figure used by StatsBrain to calibrate expected-goals output for every fixture in the division. Corner frequency averages 10.60 per game, reflecting the typical territorial and set-piece volume in this league.

Home teams average 1.22 goals per game in Serie C compared with 0.92 for away sides - indicatinga consistent home-scoring advantage that the model weights positively for home-side expected goals. This home/away split is incorporated into StatsBrain's pre-match simulation engine for every Serie C fixture.

The relegation battle is tight: Confiança begin the danger zone in 18th with 7 points, just 2 points behind Botafogo PB in safety. Anápolis prop up the table with 5 points and a 6:13 goal record after 9 matches.

Guarani carry the strongest recent form in Serie C with 4 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: W-W-L-W-W). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, Amazonas (D-L-L-L-L in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

Over the last 20 completed Serie C fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 50% (10/20), draws made up 35% and away wins 15%. Those matches averaged 2.00 goals per game - the season-wide tracked average is 2.14, so recent scoring is closely aligned with the longer sample.

StatsBrain's Serie C modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.