Super Liga

Super Liga produces an above-average scoring rate of 4.00 total goals per match across tracked fixtures in the 2025/2026 Super Liga season. That equates to roughly 2.00 goals per team per game - a baseline figure used by StatsBrain to calibrate expected-goals output for every fixture in the division. Corner frequency averages 9.50 per game, reflecting the typical territorial and set-piece volume in this league.

Home teams average 3.50 goals per game in Super Liga compared with 0.50 for away sides - indicatinga consistent home-scoring advantage that the model weights positively for home-side expected goals. This home/away split is incorporated into StatsBrain's pre-match simulation engine for every Super Liga fixture.

Napredak are bottom of Super Liga with 18 points from 37 matches (30:76 goals), 21 points adrift of Javor Ivanjica in the final safe position. Spartak Subotica sit one place above the basement on 21 points - the lower-table gap remains a significant factor in the model's relegation probability estimates.

Mladost Lučani carry the strongest recent form in Super Liga with 4 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: W-W-L-W-W). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, Čukarički (D-L-D-D-D in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

By squad market value, Partizan lead Super Liga at €45.80m (3rd in the table, 73 pts), ahead of Vojvodina at €18.85m. StatsBrain stores Transfermarkt valuations alongside performance data to contextualise each club's results relative to squad investment.

StatsBrain publishes 5 active pre-match statistical projections for the 2025/2026 Super Liga season. The next fixture on the calendar is Zemun vs Partizan. Each linked match page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.

Over the last 20 completed Super Liga fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 35% (7/20), draws made up 35% and away wins 30%. Those matches averaged 2.50 goals per game - the season-wide tracked average is 4.00, a slightly lower short-term scoring rate than the full-season baseline. Across the current upcoming slate, the model assigns an average 32% home / 27% draw / 41% away probability split - a direct comparison point against the observed 35% / 35% / 30% outcome mix from recent results.

Simulated scorelines across the upcoming Super Liga slate average 1.00 total goals per fixture, versus 4.00 from completed matches this season. The strongest current projection is Novi Pazar vs Radnički Kragujevac (71% model confidence, simulated scoreline 0 - 1, probability split 6% home · 23% draw · 71% away). The model's dominant signal for that fixture is: Awaiting Data.

StatsBrain's Super Liga modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.