Veikkausliiga

Veikkausliiga produces a moderate scoring rate of 2.82 total goals per match across tracked fixtures in the 2026 Veikkausliiga season. That equates to roughly 1.41 goals per team per game - a baseline figure used by StatsBrain to calibrate expected-goals output for every fixture in the division. Corner frequency averages 11.36 per game, reflecting the typical territorial and set-piece volume in this league.

Home teams average 2.00 goals per game in Veikkausliiga compared with 0.82 for away sides - indicatinga consistent home-scoring advantage that the model weights positively for home-side expected goals. This home/away split is incorporated into StatsBrain's pre-match simulation engine for every Veikkausliiga fixture.

The relegation battle is tight: Jaro begin the danger zone in 11th with 11 points, just 3 points behind SJK in safety. Mariehamn prop up the table with 4 points and a 8:33 goal record after 15 matches.

KuPS carry the strongest recent form in Veikkausliiga with 4 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: D-W-W-W-W). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, Mariehamn (L-L-L-L-L in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

By squad market value, HJK lead Veikkausliiga at €6.10m (5th in the table, 26 pts), ahead of Ilves at €4.25m. StatsBrain stores Transfermarkt valuations alongside performance data to contextualise each club's results relative to squad investment.

StatsBrain publishes 3 active pre-match statistical projections for the 2026 Veikkausliiga season. The next fixture on the calendar is Jaro vs Inter Turku. 3 of these 3 fixtures carry a model confidence score of 75 or above, indicating a clearer separation in the projected outcome distribution. Each linked match page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.

Over the last 20 completed Veikkausliiga fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 50% (10/20), draws made up 25% and away wins 25%. Those matches averaged 2.90 goals per game - the season-wide tracked average is 2.82, so recent scoring is closely aligned with the longer sample. Across the current upcoming slate, the model assigns an average 26% home / 7% draw / 67% away probability split - a direct comparison point against the observed 50% / 25% / 25% outcome mix from recent results.

Simulated scorelines across the upcoming Veikkausliiga slate average 3.00 total goals per fixture, versus 2.82 from completed matches this season. The strongest current projection is Jaro vs Inter Turku (100% model confidence, simulated scoreline 0 - 2-3, probability split 0% home · 0% draw · 100% away). The model's dominant signal for that fixture is: Away Win (2) (83%).

StatsBrain's Veikkausliiga modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.