Aris Limassol vs AEK Larnaca — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
1. Division2026-05-22 · 17:30
Aris Limassol€14.40mAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
AEK Larnaca€14.30mWelcome to the Alphamega Stadium, the vibrant home of Aris Limassol, where a pulsating atmosphere awaits. This fixture carries significant weight in Cypriot football, pitting two established clubs with a proud history against each other. The rivalry promises a compelling contest, a true test of mettle under the Limassol sunshine. Analytically, AEK Larnaca hold a distinct advantage according to our model. Their superior Expected Goals (xG) of 1.08 compared to Aris's 0.76 suggests a greater attacking threat. The Expected Possession also slightly favours AEK at 51%. Combined with a 52.51% Expected Win Probability, AEK Larnaca are projected to control proceedings and ultimately secure the victory.
AEK LarnacaAris LimassolAEK LarnacaAris LimassolAEK LarnacaAris LimassolAEK Larnaca| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 35 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 83:22 | 84 | WDW |
| 2 |  Apollon | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 50:36 | 67 | LWW |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 58:30 | 66 | WDD |
| 4 |  Pafos FC | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 64:38 | 59 | LWD |
| 5 |  APOEL | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 53:43 | 52 | LLL |
| 6 | Aris Limassol | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 58:41 | 51 | WLL |
| 7 |  AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 44 | DLW |
| 8 |  Anorthosis | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 30:38 | 43 | WDL |
| 9 |  Omonia Aradippou | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | 42 | LWW |
| 10 |  Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 41 | DDD |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:44 | 40 | WWW |
| 12 |  Akritas | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 31:58 | 35 | WLL |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 33 | 10 | 3 | 20 | 34:53 | 33 | LWL |
| 14 |  Enosis | 33 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 11:80 | 5 | LLD |
Aris LimassolAEK LarnacaUpcoming in 1. Division
League →Recent results in 1. Division
League →- 17 MayKrasava ENY Ypsonas FC0 – 0Enosis
- 16 MayApollon3 – 2Aris Limassol
- 16 MayAEK Larnaca2 – 2Pafos FC
- 16 MayAPOEL0 – 3Omonia Nicosia
- 15 MayAkritas1 – 2AEL
- 15 MayOlympiakos1 – 0Anorthosis
- 15 MayEthnikos Achna1 – 2Omonia Aradippou
- 10 MayOmonia Nicosia1 – 1AEK Larnaca
- 10 MayPafos FC2 – 0Aris Limassol
- 10 MayApollon2 – 0APOEL
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.