Chelsea W vs Manchester United W — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Women's Super League2026-05-16 · 15:00
Chelsea W€1.16bnAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
Manchester United W€747.15mWelcome to Stamford Bridge, a fortress steeped in footballing history, as Chelsea Women prepare to host Manchester United Women in a fixture boasting the pedigree of two established top-flight clubs. Both sides, perennial contenders for domestic honours, understand the significance of these encounters, promising a captivating spectacle of skill and determination. Our data model suggests Chelsea W holds a significant advantage, with a 57.83% win probability underpinned by a strong 1.89 xG capability. Expect them to control possession (54% expected), dictating play and creating more scoring opportunities. Manchester United W, with a lower xG of 0.83, will need to be exceptionally efficient to overcome this statistical disparity. Chelsea's dominance in projected metrics points towards them controlling the tempo and ultimately securing the victory.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City W | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 58:18 | 52 | WLW |
| 2 |  Arsenal W | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 50:13 | 48 | DWW |
| 3 | Chelsea W | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 43:20 | 46 | WWW |
| 4 | Manchester United W | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 38:21 | 40 | LDD |
| 5 |  Tottenham W | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33:37 | 33 | LDW |
| 6 |  Brighton W | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26:26 | 26 | WDD |
| 7 |  London City Lionesses W | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26:34 | 24 | DWL |
| 8 |  Everton W | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 24:37 | 20 | LLL |
| 9 |  Aston Villa W | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 27:46 | 20 | LLL |
| 10 |  West Ham W | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19:41 | 19 | DWW |
| 11 |  Liverpool W | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20:31 | 17 | WLL |
| 12 |  Leicester W | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11:51 | 9 | LLL |
Chelsea WManchester United WRecent results in Women's Super League
League →- 16 MayLondon City Lionesses W2 – 1Aston Villa W
- 16 MayEverton W1 – 0Leicester W
- 16 MayBrighton W1 – 2Tottenham W
- 16 MayLiverpool W1 – 3Arsenal W
- 16 MayWest Ham W1 – 4Manchester City W
- 13 MayArsenal W1 – 0Everton W
- 9 MayAston Villa W0 – 3Arsenal W
- 6 MayBrighton W1 – 1Arsenal W
- 4 MayAston Villa W0 – 2West Ham W
- 3 MayLeicester W1 – 3Chelsea W
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.