Chelsea - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · Premier League
Recent form (last 5)
Chelsea have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats across their last 6 Premier League matches (17% win rate) - a below-average performance trend over this sample. That return of 4 points from a possible 18 represents a below-average points conversion rate - a factor the StatsBrain model flags as a short-term performance concern.
League Standings · Premier League · 2025/2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 | |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 | |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 | |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 | |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 | |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 | |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 | |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 | |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 | |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 | |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 | |
| 12 |  Newcastle United | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 | |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 | |
| 14 |  Leeds United | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 | |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 | |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 | |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 | |
| 18 |  West Ham United | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 | |
| 19 |  Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 | |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Team Analysis · Premier League
Over their last 10 Premier League fixtures, Chelsea have scored 9 goals (0.9 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 19 (1.9 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency below league average, indicating structural vulnerabilities. A negative goal difference of -10 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.
Home fixture record (last 5 Premier League matches): 1W–0D–4L - 20% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 1W–1D–3L - 20% away win rate. The similarity between home and away performance suggests Chelsea are broadly consistent regardless of location.
Statistical Modelling · Premier League
StatsBrain's Chelsea modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Recent Results · Chelsea
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.50 | 1.25 | 2.75 |
| Average Corners | 5.50 | 4.50 | 10.00 |
Premier League8Frequently Asked Questions · Chelsea
8What is Chelsea's recent form?
Across their last 6 Premier League fixtures, Chelsea have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats - a 17% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Chelsea score per game?
Chelsea have scored an average of 0.90 goals per match across their last 10 Premier League fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.90 goals per game.
What is Chelsea's home record?
In their last 10 home Premier League fixtures, Chelsea have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 - a 30% home win rate. They average 1.3 goals per home match over that period.
What is Chelsea's away record?
Away from home, Chelsea have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 Premier League away fixtures - a 30% away win rate. They score an average of 1.5 goals per away match.