Derby County - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · Championship
Recent form (last 5)
Derby County have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats across their last 6 Championship matches (50% win rate) - a statistically neutral performance trend over this sample. That return of 9 points from a possible 18 is consistent with mid-table efficiency over this sample.
League Standings · Championship · 2025/2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |  TBC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 1 |  Coventry City | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 | |
| 2 |  Ipswich Town | 47 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 80:48 | 84 | |
| 3 |  Southampton | 48 | 23 | 15 | 10 | 84:57 | 84 | |
| 4 |  Millwall | 48 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 64:51 | 84 | |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 48 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 73:49 | 81 | |
| 6 |  Hull City | 48 | 22 | 11 | 15 | 72:66 | 77 | |
| 7 |  Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 | |
| 8 | Derby County | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 | |
| 9 |  Norwich City | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 | |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 | |
| 11 |  Swansea City | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 | |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 | |
| 13 |  Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 | |
| 14 |  Preston North End | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 | |
| 15 |  Queens Park Rangers | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 | |
| 16 |  Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 | |
| 17 |  Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 | |
| 18 |  Blackburn Rovers | 47 | 14 | 13 | 20 | 43:56 | 55 | |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 | |
| 20 |  West Bromwich Albion | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 53 | |
| 21 |  Charlton Athletic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 | |
| 22 |  Leicester City | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 52 | |
| 23 |  Oxford United | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 | |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 18 |
Team Analysis · Championship
Over their last 10 Championship fixtures, Derby County have scored 13 goals (1.3 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 12 (1.2 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency within acceptable thresholds. A goal difference of +1 across this sample reflects a broadly balanced team that creates more than it concedes.
Home fixture record (last 4 Championship matches): 3W–0D–1L - 75% home win rate; away fixture record (last 6 matches): 2W–0D–4L - 33% away win rate. The pronounced gap between home and away win rates signals a strong home advantage - a variable that StatsBrain's location-adjusted model weights heavily.
Statistical Modelling · Championship
StatsBrain's Derby County modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Recent Results · Derby County
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.75 | 1.13 | 2.88 |
| Average Corners | 6.13 | 3.00 | 9.13 |
Championship8Derby CountyQueens Park RangersNorwich CityDerby CountySouthamptonDerby CountyCoventry CityDerby CountyFrequently Asked Questions · Derby County
8What is Derby County's recent form?
Across their last 6 Championship fixtures, Derby County have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats - a 50% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Derby County score per game?
Derby County have scored an average of 1.30 goals per match across their last 10 Championship fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.20 goals per game.
What is Derby County's home record?
In their last 10 home Championship fixtures, Derby County have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 - a 60% home win rate. They average 1.5 goals per home match over that period.
What is Derby County's away record?
Away from home, Derby County have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 Championship away fixtures - a 40% away win rate. They score an average of 1.7 goals per away match.