Exeter City - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · League One
Recent form (last 5)
Exeter City have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats across their last 6 League One matches (17% win rate) - a below-average performance trend over this sample. That return of 6 points from a possible 18 represents a below-average points conversion rate - a factor the StatsBrain model flags as a short-term performance concern.
League Standings · League One · 2025/2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |  TBC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 1 |  Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 | |
| 2 |  Cardiff City | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 | |
| 3 |  Bolton Wanderers | 49 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 76:53 | 84 | |
| 4 |  Stockport County | 49 | 24 | 11 | 14 | 75:62 | 83 | |
| 5 |  Bradford City | 48 | 22 | 11 | 15 | 58:53 | 77 | |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 48 | 21 | 12 | 15 | 49:49 | 75 | |
| 7 |  Luton Town | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 | |
| 8 |  Plymouth Argyle | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 | |
| 9 |  Huddersfield Town | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 | |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 | |
| 11 |  Wycombe Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 | |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 | |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 | |
| 14 |  Doncaster Rovers | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 | |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 | |
| 16 |  Wigan Athletic | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 | |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 | |
| 18 |  Peterborough United | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 | |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 | |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 | |
| 21 | Exeter City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 | |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 | |
| 23 |  Rotherham United | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 | |
| 24 |  Northampton Town | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Team Analysis · League One
Over their last 10 League One fixtures, Exeter City have scored 12 goals (1.2 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 18 (1.8 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency below league average, indicating structural vulnerabilities. A negative goal difference of -6 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.
Home fixture record (last 5 League One matches): 1W–2D–2L - 20% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 0W–2D–3L - 0% away win rate. A moderate home/away differential is typical across most leagues and is reflected in the model's venue-adjusted probability calculations.
Statistical Modelling · League One
StatsBrain's Exeter City modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Recent Results · Exeter City
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.63 | 1.00 | 2.63 |
| Average Corners | 5.75 | 4.63 | 10.38 |
League One8Exeter CityBurton AlbionExeter CityPlymouth ArgyleExeter CityBlackpoolExeter CityWigan AthleticFrequently Asked Questions · Exeter City
8What is Exeter City's recent form?
Across their last 6 League One fixtures, Exeter City have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats - a 17% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Exeter City score per game?
Exeter City have scored an average of 1.20 goals per match across their last 10 League One fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.80 goals per game.
What is Exeter City's home record?
In their last 10 home League One fixtures, Exeter City have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 - a 10% home win rate. They average 1.0 goals per home match over that period.
What is Exeter City's away record?
Away from home, Exeter City have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 League One away fixtures - a 10% away win rate. They score an average of 1.4 goals per away match.