Lexington - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · USL Championship
Recent form (last 5)
Lexington have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats across their last 6 USL Championship matches (33% win rate) - a statistically neutral performance trend over this sample. That return of 8 points from a possible 18 is consistent with mid-table efficiency over this sample.
League Standings · USL Championship · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23:8 | 31 | |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30:19 | 26 | |
| 3 |  Orange County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:15 | 26 | |
| 4 |  San Antonio | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20:17 | 24 | |
| 5 |  Detroit City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 21 | |
| 6 |  Oakland Roots | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 23:20 | 21 | |
| 7 |  Louisville City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:22 | 21 | |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 | |
| 9 |  Tulsa Roughnecks | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 | |
| 10 |  Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Hartford Athletic | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10:10 | 18 | |
| 12 |  New Mexico United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 18 | |
| 13 |  Phoenix Rising | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Miami FC II | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:23 | 17 | |
| 15 |  Sacramento Republic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 16 | |
| 16 |  Colorado Springs | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 16 | |
| 17 |  El Paso Locomotive | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:23 | 16 | |
| 18 | Rhode Island | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21:15 | 15 | |
| 19 |  Las Vegas Lights | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:23 | 15 | |
| 20 |  Monterey Bay | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 | |
| 21 | Lexington | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:14 | 13 | |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 23 |  Loudoun United | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15:26 | 10 | |
| 24 | Brooklyn FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 | |
| 25 | Sporting JAX | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17:39 | 3 |
Team Analysis · USL Championship
Over their last 10 USL Championship fixtures, Lexington have scored 13 goals (1.3 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 12 (1.2 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency within acceptable thresholds. A goal difference of +1 across this sample reflects a broadly balanced team that creates more than it concedes.
Home fixture record (last 4 USL Championship matches): 2W–1D–1L - 50% home win rate; away fixture record (last 6 matches): 1W–2D–3L - 17% away win rate. The pronounced gap between home and away win rates signals a strong home advantage - a variable that StatsBrain's location-adjusted model weights heavily.
Statistical Modelling · USL Championship
StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving Lexington in USL Championship. The next modelled fixture is Lexington away against Tampa Bay Rowdies on Sun, 5 July 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.
Over Lexington's last 6 USL Championship matches, the observed outcome mix is 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats (33% win rate). That sample averages 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns Lexington a 3% win probability (full split: 72% home · 25% draw · 3% away) - a direct comparison point against the 33% win rate from recent completed matches.
The current simulated scoreline for Lexington vs Tampa Bay Rowdies is 1–0 (0 for Lexington, 1 for Tampa Bay Rowdies) with a 72% model confidence score.
StatsBrain's Lexington modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Upcoming Match Projections · Lexington
1Recent Results · Lexington
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.25 | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| Average Corners | 4.25 | 4.13 | 8.38 |
USL Championship8Frequently Asked Questions · Lexington
9What is Lexington's recent form?
Across their last 6 USL Championship fixtures, Lexington have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats - a 33% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Lexington score per game?
Lexington have scored an average of 1.30 goals per match across their last 10 USL Championship fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.20 goals per game.
What is Lexington's home record?
In their last 10 home USL Championship fixtures, Lexington have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 - a 30% home win rate. They average 1.3 goals per home match over that period.
What is Lexington's away record?
Away from home, Lexington have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 USL Championship away fixtures - a 20% away win rate. They score an average of 0.9 goals per away match.