Manchester City - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data

Team Overview · Premier League
Recent form (last 5)
Manchester City have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat across their last 6 Premier League matches (50% win rate) - a statistically positive performance trend over this sample. That return of 11 points from a possible 18 reflects an above-average conversion rate over this period.
League Standings · Premier League · 2025/2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 | ||
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 | ||
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 | ||
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 | ||
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 | ||
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 | ||
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 | ||
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 | ||
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 | ||
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 | ||
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 | ||
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 | ||
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 | ||
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 | ||
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 | ||
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 | ||
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 | ||
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 | ||
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 | ||
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Team Analysis · Premier League
Over their last 10 Premier League fixtures, Manchester City have scored 20 goals (2.0 per match) - above-league-average attacking output - and conceded 10 (1.0 per match), reflecting a defensively efficient record, placing them in the upper tier for goals conceded. A goal difference of +10 across this sample is a strong positive indicator of both attacking threat and defensive solidity.
Home fixture record (last 5 Premier League matches): 3W–1D–1L - 60% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 2W–3D–0L - 40% away win rate. A moderate home/away differential is typical across most leagues and is reflected in the model's venue-adjusted probability calculations.
Statistical Modelling · Premier League
StatsBrain's Manchester City modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Recent Results · Manchester City
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.63 | 1.38 | 3.00 |
| Average Corners | 6.88 | 6.63 | 13.50 |
Frequently Asked Questions · Manchester City
8What is Manchester City's recent form?
Across their last 6 Premier League fixtures, Manchester City have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat - a 50% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Manchester City score per game?
Manchester City have scored an average of 2.00 goals per match across their last 10 Premier League fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.00 goals per game.
What is Manchester City's home record?
In their last 10 home Premier League fixtures, Manchester City have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 - a 60% home win rate. They average 2.0 goals per home match over that period.
What is Manchester City's away record?
Away from home, Manchester City have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 Premier League away fixtures - a 40% away win rate. They score an average of 1.4 goals per away match.