Nacional - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · Primera Division
Recent form (last 5)
Nacional have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats across their last 6 Primera Division matches (67% win rate) - a statistically positive performance trend over this sample. That return of 12 points from a possible 18 reflects an above-average conversion rate over this period.
League Standings · Primera Division · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 39 | |
| 2 |  Racing | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 37 | |
| 3 |  Peñarol | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 36 | |
| 4 |  Albion | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 32 | |
| 5 | Nacional | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 31 | |
| 6 |  Central Español | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 31 | |
| 7 |  Montevideo City Torque | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 29 | |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 22:19 | 26 | |
| 9 |  Cerro Largo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 24 | |
| 10 |  Wanderers | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:24 | 24 | |
| 11 |  Defensor Sporting | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | 23 | |
| 12 |  Boston River | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | 21 | |
| 13 |  Danubio | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:26 | 19 | |
| 14 |  Juventud | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:29 | 18 | |
| 15 |  Atlético Progreso | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | 13 | |
| 16 |  Cerro | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | 13 |
Team Analysis · Primera Division
Over their last 10 Primera Division fixtures, Nacional have scored 17 goals (1.7 per match) - productive attacking output consistent with mid-table averages - and conceded 16 (1.6 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency below league average, indicating structural vulnerabilities. A goal difference of +1 across this sample reflects a broadly balanced team that creates more than it concedes.
Home fixture record (last 5 Primera Division matches): 3W–0D–2L - 60% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 2W–0D–3L - 40% away win rate. A moderate home/away differential is typical across most leagues and is reflected in the model's venue-adjusted probability calculations.
Statistical Modelling · Primera Division
StatsBrain's Nacional modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Recent Results · Nacional
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 2.00 | 1.25 | 3.25 |
| Average Corners | 5.50 | 4.25 | 9.75 |
Frequently Asked Questions · Nacional
8What is Nacional's recent form?
Across their last 6 Primera Division fixtures, Nacional have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats - a 67% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Nacional score per game?
Nacional have scored an average of 1.70 goals per match across their last 10 Primera Division fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.60 goals per game.
What is Nacional's home record?
In their last 9 home Primera Division fixtures, Nacional have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 - a 56% home win rate. They average 1.6 goals per home match over that period.
What is Nacional's away record?
Away from home, Nacional have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 Primera Division away fixtures - a 50% away win rate. They score an average of 1.7 goals per away match.