Real Monarchs - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview Ā· MLS Next Pro
Recent form (last 5)
Real Monarchs have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats across their last 6 MLS Next Pro matches (33% win rate) - a below-average performance trend over this sample. That return of 6 points from a possible 18 represents a below-average points conversion rate - a factor the StatsBrain model flags as a short-term performance concern.
League Standings Ā· MLS Next Pro Ā· 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austin II | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 36 | |
| 2 |  Columbus Crew II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:27 | 31 | |
| 3 |  Crown Legacy | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 40:21 | 29 | |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo FC II | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31:13 | 29 | |
| 5 |  New York RB II | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:21 | 28 | |
| 6 |  New England II | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 28 | |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers II | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:19 | 27 | |
| 8 |  Orlando City II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 36:30 | 26 | |
| 9 |  St. Louis City II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:25 | 26 | |
| 10 |  Ventura County | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:21 | 25 | |
| 11 |  Los Angeles FC 2 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:26 | 25 | |
| 12 |  Atlanta United II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33:25 | 24 | |
| 13 |  New York City II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:23 | 24 | |
| 14 |  Minnesota United II | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25:25 | 24 | |
| 15 |  Chattanooga | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 30:27 | 23 | |
| 16 |  Toronto II | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:29 | 22 | |
| 17 |  The Town FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 21 | |
| 18 |  Chicago Fire II | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 20 | |
| 19 |  Philadelphia Union II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:21 | 20 | |
| 20 |  Tacoma Defiance | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:22 | 19 | |
| 21 | Real Monarchs | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | 18 | |
| 22 |  North Texas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:20 | 17 | |
| 23 |  Connecticut United | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:28 | 17 | |
| 24 | Carolina Core | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20:25 | 16 | |
| 25 |  Huntsville City | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | 16 | |
| 26 |  FC Cincinnati II | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 13:27 | 12 | |
| 27 |  Whitecaps FC II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21:36 | 12 | |
| 28 |  Sporting Kansas City II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22:44 | 12 | |
| 29 |  Colorado Rapids II | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13:32 | 8 | |
| 30 |  Inter Miami II | 14 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12:34 | 5 |
Team Analysis Ā· MLS Next Pro
Over their last 10 MLS Next Pro fixtures, Real Monarchs have scored 13 goals (1.3 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 19 (1.9 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency below league average, indicating structural vulnerabilities. A negative goal difference of -6 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.
Home fixture record (last 5 MLS Next Pro matches): 2Wā1Dā2L - 40% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 1Wā0Dā4L - 20% away win rate. A moderate home/away differential is typical across most leagues and is reflected in the model's venue-adjusted probability calculations.
Statistical Modelling Ā· MLS Next Pro
StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving Real Monarchs in MLS Next Pro. The next modelled fixture is Real Monarchs away against Los Angeles FC 2 on Mon, 6 July 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.
Over Real Monarchs's last 6 MLS Next Pro matches, the observed outcome mix is 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats (33% win rate). That sample averages 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns Real Monarchs a 25% win probability (full split: 42% home Ā· 32% draw Ā· 25% away) - a direct comparison point against the 33% win rate from recent completed matches.
The current simulated scoreline for Real Monarchs vs Los Angeles FC 2 is 1ā1 (1 for Real Monarchs, 1 for Los Angeles FC 2)
StatsBrain's Real Monarchs modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Upcoming Match Projections Ā· Real Monarchs
1Recent Results Ā· Real Monarchs
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 2.00 | 1.13 | 3.13 |
| Average Corners | 5.25 | 4.38 | 9.63 |
MLS Next Pro8Ventura CountyTacoma DefianceReal MonarchsThe Town FCReal MonarchsWhitecaps FC IIReal MonarchsReal MonarchsFrequently Asked Questions Ā· Real Monarchs
9What is Real Monarchs's recent form?
Across their last 6 MLS Next Pro fixtures, Real Monarchs have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats - a 33% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Real Monarchs score per game?
Real Monarchs have scored an average of 1.30 goals per match across their last 10 MLS Next Pro fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.90 goals per game.
What is Real Monarchs's home record?
In their last 10 home MLS Next Pro fixtures, Real Monarchs have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 - a 30% home win rate. They average 1.6 goals per home match over that period.
What is Real Monarchs's away record?
Away from home, Real Monarchs have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 MLS Next Pro away fixtures - a 30% away win rate. They score an average of 1.8 goals per away match.