Sacramento Republic - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · USL Championship
Recent form (last 5)
Sacramento Republic have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats across their last 6 USL Championship matches (33% win rate) - a below-average performance trend over this sample. That return of 7 points from a possible 18 represents a below-average points conversion rate - a factor the StatsBrain model flags as a short-term performance concern.
League Standings · USL Championship · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23:8 | 31 | |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30:19 | 26 | |
| 3 |  Orange County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:15 | 26 | |
| 4 |  San Antonio | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20:17 | 24 | |
| 5 |  Detroit City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 21 | |
| 6 |  Oakland Roots | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 23:20 | 21 | |
| 7 |  Louisville City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:22 | 21 | |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 | |
| 9 |  Tulsa Roughnecks | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 | |
| 10 |  Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Hartford Athletic | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10:10 | 18 | |
| 12 |  New Mexico United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 18 | |
| 13 |  Phoenix Rising | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Miami FC II | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:23 | 17 | |
| 15 | Sacramento Republic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 16 | |
| 16 |  Colorado Springs | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 16 | |
| 17 |  El Paso Locomotive | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:23 | 16 | |
| 18 |  Rhode Island | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21:15 | 15 | |
| 19 |  Las Vegas Lights | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:23 | 15 | |
| 20 |  Monterey Bay | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 | |
| 21 | Lexington | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:14 | 13 | |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 23 |  Loudoun United | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15:26 | 10 | |
| 24 | Brooklyn FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 | |
| 25 | Sporting JAX | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17:39 | 3 |
Team Analysis · USL Championship
Over their last 10 USL Championship fixtures, Sacramento Republic have scored 11 goals (1.1 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 12 (1.2 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency within acceptable thresholds. A negative goal difference of -1 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.
Home fixture record (last 5 USL Championship matches): 2W–1D–2L - 40% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 1W–2D–2L - 20% away win rate. A moderate home/away differential is typical across most leagues and is reflected in the model's venue-adjusted probability calculations.
Statistical Modelling · USL Championship
StatsBrain's Sacramento Republic modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Recent Results · Sacramento Republic
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.38 | 0.88 | 2.25 |
| Average Corners | 4.38 | 4.75 | 9.13 |
USL Championship8Sacramento RepublicColorado SpringsPhoenix RisingSan AntonioSacramento RepublicBrooklyn FCLas Vegas LightsSacramento RepublicFrequently Asked Questions · Sacramento Republic
8What is Sacramento Republic's recent form?
Across their last 6 USL Championship fixtures, Sacramento Republic have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats - a 33% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Sacramento Republic score per game?
Sacramento Republic have scored an average of 1.10 goals per match across their last 10 USL Championship fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.20 goals per game.
What is Sacramento Republic's home record?
In their last 10 home USL Championship fixtures, Sacramento Republic have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 - a 50% home win rate. They average 1.2 goals per home match over that period.
What is Sacramento Republic's away record?
Away from home, Sacramento Republic have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 USL Championship away fixtures - a 20% away win rate. They score an average of 1.0 goals per away match.