St. Louis City II - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview Ā· MLS Next Pro
Recent form (last 5)
St. Louis City II have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats across their last 6 MLS Next Pro matches (17% win rate) - a below-average performance trend over this sample. That return of 5 points from a possible 18 represents a below-average points conversion rate - a factor the StatsBrain model flags as a short-term performance concern.
League Standings Ā· MLS Next Pro Ā· 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austin II | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29:11 | 33 | |
| 2 |  Columbus Crew II | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:25 | 30 | |
| 3 |  Houston Dynamo FC II | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 30:10 | 29 | |
| 4 |  Crown Legacy | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 40:21 | 29 | |
| 5 |  New England II | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 28 | |
| 6 |  Portland Timbers II | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:19 | 27 | |
| 7 | St. Louis City II | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28:23 | 26 | |
| 8 |  New York RB II | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 25 | |
| 9 |  Ventura County | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:21 | 25 | |
| 10 |  Orlando City II | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34:28 | 25 | |
| 11 |  Atlanta United II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33:25 | 24 | |
| 12 |  New York City II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:23 | 24 | |
| 13 |  Chattanooga | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 30:27 | 23 | |
| 14 |  Minnesota United II | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:23 | 23 | |
| 15 |  Los Angeles FC 2 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23:25 | 22 | |
| 16 |  Toronto II | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:29 | 22 | |
| 17 |  The Town FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 21 | |
| 18 |  Philadelphia Union II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:16 | 20 | |
| 19 |  Chicago Fire II | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 20 | |
| 20 |  Real Monarchs | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | 18 | |
| 21 |  Tacoma Defiance | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 18 | |
| 22 |  North Texas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:20 | 17 | |
| 23 |  Connecticut United | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:28 | 17 | |
| 24 |  Huntsville City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 24:32 | 16 | |
| 25 | Carolina Core | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | 13 | |
| 26 |  Whitecaps FC II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21:36 | 12 | |
| 27 |  Sporting Kansas City II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22:44 | 12 | |
| 28 |  FC Cincinnati II | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 12:27 | 9 | |
| 29 |  Colorado Rapids II | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13:32 | 8 | |
| 30 |  Inter Miami II | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12:33 | 5 |
Team Analysis Ā· MLS Next Pro
Over their last 10 MLS Next Pro fixtures, St. Louis City II have scored 14 goals (1.4 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 19 (1.9 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency below league average, indicating structural vulnerabilities. A negative goal difference of -5 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.
Home fixture record (last 4 MLS Next Pro matches): 2Wā1Dā1L - 50% home win rate; away fixture record (last 6 matches): 1Wā3Dā2L - 17% away win rate. The pronounced gap between home and away win rates signals a strong home advantage - a variable that StatsBrain's location-adjusted model weights heavily.
Statistical Modelling Ā· MLS Next Pro
StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving St. Louis City II in MLS Next Pro. The next modelled fixture is St. Louis City II at home to Austin II on Mon, 29 June 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.
Over St. Louis City II's last 6 MLS Next Pro matches, the observed outcome mix is 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats (17% win rate). That sample averages 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns St. Louis City II a 30% win probability (full split: 30% home Ā· 32% draw Ā· 38% away) - a direct comparison point against the 17% win rate from recent completed matches.
The current simulated scoreline for St. Louis City II vs Austin II is 1ā1 (1 for St. Louis City II, 1 for Austin II)
StatsBrain's St. Louis City II modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Upcoming Match Projections Ā· St. Louis City II
1Recent Results Ā· St. Louis City II
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 2.00 | 1.25 | 3.25 |
| Average Corners | 6.75 | 6.88 | 13.63 |
MLS Next Pro8Minnesota United IIColorado Rapids IISt. Louis City IILos Angeles FC 2Austin IISt. Louis City IIMinnesota United IISt. Louis City IIFrequently Asked Questions Ā· St. Louis City II
9What is St. Louis City II's recent form?
Across their last 6 MLS Next Pro fixtures, St. Louis City II have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats - a 17% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does St. Louis City II score per game?
St. Louis City II have scored an average of 1.40 goals per match across their last 10 MLS Next Pro fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.90 goals per game.
What is St. Louis City II's home record?
In their last 10 home MLS Next Pro fixtures, St. Louis City II have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 - a 50% home win rate. They average 2.0 goals per home match over that period.
What is St. Louis City II's away record?
Away from home, St. Louis City II have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 MLS Next Pro away fixtures - a 40% away win rate. They score an average of 1.5 goals per away match.