Tacoma Defiance - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview Ā· MLS Next Pro
Recent form (last 5)
Tacoma Defiance have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats across their last 6 MLS Next Pro matches (67% win rate) - a statistically positive performance trend over this sample. That return of 12 points from a possible 18 reflects an above-average conversion rate over this period.
League Standings Ā· MLS Next Pro Ā· 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austin II | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29:11 | 33 | |
| 2 |  Columbus Crew II | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:25 | 30 | |
| 3 |  Houston Dynamo FC II | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 30:10 | 29 | |
| 4 |  Crown Legacy | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 40:21 | 29 | |
| 5 |  New England II | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 28 | |
| 6 |  Portland Timbers II | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:19 | 27 | |
| 7 |  St. Louis City II | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28:23 | 26 | |
| 8 |  New York RB II | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 25 | |
| 9 |  Ventura County | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:21 | 25 | |
| 10 |  Orlando City II | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34:28 | 25 | |
| 11 |  Atlanta United II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33:25 | 24 | |
| 12 |  New York City II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:23 | 24 | |
| 13 |  Chattanooga | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 30:27 | 23 | |
| 14 |  Minnesota United II | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:23 | 23 | |
| 15 |  Los Angeles FC 2 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23:25 | 22 | |
| 16 |  Toronto II | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:29 | 22 | |
| 17 |  The Town FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 21 | |
| 18 |  Philadelphia Union II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:16 | 20 | |
| 19 |  Chicago Fire II | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 20 | |
| 20 |  Real Monarchs | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | 18 | |
| 21 | Tacoma Defiance | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 18 | |
| 22 |  North Texas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:20 | 17 | |
| 23 |  Connecticut United | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:28 | 17 | |
| 24 |  Huntsville City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 24:32 | 16 | |
| 25 | Carolina Core | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | 13 | |
| 26 |  Whitecaps FC II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21:36 | 12 | |
| 27 |  Sporting Kansas City II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22:44 | 12 | |
| 28 |  FC Cincinnati II | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 12:27 | 9 | |
| 29 |  Colorado Rapids II | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13:32 | 8 | |
| 30 |  Inter Miami II | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12:33 | 5 |
Team Analysis Ā· MLS Next Pro
Over their last 10 MLS Next Pro fixtures, Tacoma Defiance have scored 14 goals (1.4 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 12 (1.2 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency within acceptable thresholds. A goal difference of +2 across this sample reflects a broadly balanced team that creates more than it concedes.
Home fixture record (last 5 MLS Next Pro matches): 4Wā0Dā1L - 80% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 1Wā1Dā3L - 20% away win rate. The pronounced gap between home and away win rates signals a strong home advantage - a variable that StatsBrain's location-adjusted model weights heavily.
Statistical Modelling Ā· MLS Next Pro
StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving Tacoma Defiance in MLS Next Pro. The next modelled fixture is Tacoma Defiance away against Minnesota United II on Mon, 29 June 2026. 1 upcoming MLS Next Pro fixture for Tacoma Defiance carry a model confidence score of 75 or above. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.
Over Tacoma Defiance's last 6 MLS Next Pro matches, the observed outcome mix is 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats (67% win rate). That sample averages 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns Tacoma Defiance a 0% win probability (full split: 79% home Ā· 21% draw Ā· 0% away) - a direct comparison point against the 67% win rate from recent completed matches.
The current simulated scoreline for Tacoma Defiance vs Minnesota United II is 1ā0 (0 for Tacoma Defiance, 1 for Minnesota United II) with a 79% model confidence score.
StatsBrain's Tacoma Defiance modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Upcoming Match Projections Ā· Tacoma Defiance
1Recent Results Ā· Tacoma Defiance
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.75 | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Average Corners | 4.75 | 4.88 | 9.63 |
MLS Next Pro8Tacoma DefianceTacoma DefiancePortland Timbers IITacoma DefianceWhitecaps FC IIAustin IISporting Kansas City IITacoma DefianceFrequently Asked Questions Ā· Tacoma Defiance
9What is Tacoma Defiance's recent form?
Across their last 6 MLS Next Pro fixtures, Tacoma Defiance have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats - a 67% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Tacoma Defiance score per game?
Tacoma Defiance have scored an average of 1.40 goals per match across their last 10 MLS Next Pro fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.20 goals per game.
What is Tacoma Defiance's home record?
In their last 10 home MLS Next Pro fixtures, Tacoma Defiance have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 - a 50% home win rate. They average 1.6 goals per home match over that period.
What is Tacoma Defiance's away record?
Away from home, Tacoma Defiance have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 MLS Next Pro away fixtures - a 30% away win rate. They score an average of 0.9 goals per away match.