Tacoma Defiance - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview Ā· MLS Next Pro
Recent form (last 5)
Tacoma Defiance have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat across their last 6 MLS Next Pro matches (67% win rate) - a statistically positive performance trend over this sample. That return of 13 points from a possible 18 reflects an above-average conversion rate over this period.
League Standings Ā· MLS Next Pro Ā· 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austin II | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 36 | |
| 2 |  Columbus Crew II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:27 | 31 | |
| 3 |  Crown Legacy | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 40:21 | 29 | |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo FC II | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31:13 | 29 | |
| 5 |  New York RB II | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:21 | 28 | |
| 6 |  New England II | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 28 | |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers II | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:19 | 27 | |
| 8 |  Orlando City II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 36:30 | 26 | |
| 9 |  St. Louis City II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:25 | 26 | |
| 10 |  Ventura County | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:21 | 25 | |
| 11 |  Los Angeles FC 2 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:26 | 25 | |
| 12 |  Atlanta United II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33:25 | 24 | |
| 13 |  New York City II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:23 | 24 | |
| 14 |  Minnesota United II | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25:25 | 24 | |
| 15 |  Chattanooga | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 30:27 | 23 | |
| 16 |  Toronto II | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:29 | 22 | |
| 17 |  The Town FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 21 | |
| 18 |  Chicago Fire II | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 20 | |
| 19 |  Philadelphia Union II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:21 | 20 | |
| 20 | Tacoma Defiance | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:22 | 19 | |
| 21 |  Real Monarchs | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | 18 | |
| 22 |  North Texas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:20 | 17 | |
| 23 |  Connecticut United | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:28 | 17 | |
| 24 | Carolina Core | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20:25 | 16 | |
| 25 |  Huntsville City | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | 16 | |
| 26 |  FC Cincinnati II | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 13:27 | 12 | |
| 27 |  Whitecaps FC II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21:36 | 12 | |
| 28 |  Sporting Kansas City II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22:44 | 12 | |
| 29 |  Colorado Rapids II | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13:32 | 8 | |
| 30 |  Inter Miami II | 14 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12:34 | 5 |
Team Analysis Ā· MLS Next Pro
Over their last 10 MLS Next Pro fixtures, Tacoma Defiance have scored 15 goals (1.5 per match) - productive attacking output consistent with mid-table averages - and conceded 12 (1.2 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency within acceptable thresholds. A goal difference of +3 across this sample reflects a broadly balanced team that creates more than it concedes.
Home fixture record (last 5 MLS Next Pro matches): 4Wā0Dā1L - 80% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 1Wā2Dā2L - 20% away win rate. The pronounced gap between home and away win rates signals a strong home advantage - a variable that StatsBrain's location-adjusted model weights heavily.
Statistical Modelling Ā· MLS Next Pro
StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving Tacoma Defiance in MLS Next Pro. The next modelled fixture is Tacoma Defiance at home to Portland Timbers II on Mon, 6 July 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.
Over Tacoma Defiance's last 6 MLS Next Pro matches, the observed outcome mix is 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (67% win rate). That sample averages 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns Tacoma Defiance a 32% win probability (full split: 32% home Ā· 33% draw Ā· 36% away) - a direct comparison point against the 67% win rate from recent completed matches.
The current simulated scoreline for Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II is 1ā1 (1 for Tacoma Defiance, 1 for Portland Timbers II)
StatsBrain's Tacoma Defiance modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Upcoming Match Projections Ā· Tacoma Defiance
1Recent Results Ā· Tacoma Defiance
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.50 | 0.88 | 2.38 |
| Average Corners | 4.75 | 4.75 | 9.50 |
MLS Next Pro8Minnesota United IITacoma DefianceTacoma DefiancePortland Timbers IITacoma DefianceWhitecaps FC IIAustin IISporting Kansas City IIFrequently Asked Questions Ā· Tacoma Defiance
9What is Tacoma Defiance's recent form?
Across their last 6 MLS Next Pro fixtures, Tacoma Defiance have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat - a 67% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Tacoma Defiance score per game?
Tacoma Defiance have scored an average of 1.50 goals per match across their last 10 MLS Next Pro fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.20 goals per game.
What is Tacoma Defiance's home record?
In their last 10 home MLS Next Pro fixtures, Tacoma Defiance have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 - a 50% home win rate. They average 1.6 goals per home match over that period.
What is Tacoma Defiance's away record?
Away from home, Tacoma Defiance have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 MLS Next Pro away fixtures - a 30% away win rate. They score an average of 1.0 goals per away match.