Toulouse - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · Ligue 1
Recent form (last 5)
Toulouse have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats across their last 6 Ligue 1 matches (33% win rate) - a below-average performance trend over this sample. That return of 7 points from a possible 18 represents a below-average points conversion rate - a factor the StatsBrain model flags as a short-term performance concern.
League Standings · Ligue 1 · 2025/2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 | |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 | |
| 3 |  LOSC Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 | |
| 4 |  Olympique Lyonnais | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 | |
| 5 |  Olympique Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 | |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 | |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 | |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 | |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 | |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 44 | |
| 11 |  Paris | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 | |
| 12 |  Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 | |
| 13 |  Angers SCO | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 | |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 | |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 | |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 | |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | 23 | |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Team Analysis · Ligue 1
Over their last 10 Ligue 1 fixtures, Toulouse have scored 14 goals (1.4 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 19 (1.9 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency below league average, indicating structural vulnerabilities. A negative goal difference of -5 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.
Home fixture record (last 5 Ligue 1 matches): 2W–1D–2L - 40% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 2W–0D–3L - 40% away win rate. The similarity between home and away performance suggests Toulouse are broadly consistent regardless of location.
Statistical Modelling · Ligue 1
StatsBrain's Toulouse modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Recent Results · Toulouse
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.88 | 2.00 | 3.88 |
| Average Corners | 5.88 | 3.25 | 9.13 |
Frequently Asked Questions · Toulouse
8What is Toulouse's recent form?
Across their last 6 Ligue 1 fixtures, Toulouse have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats - a 33% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Toulouse score per game?
Toulouse have scored an average of 1.40 goals per match across their last 10 Ligue 1 fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.90 goals per game.
What is Toulouse's home record?
In their last 10 home Ligue 1 fixtures, Toulouse have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 - a 40% home win rate. They average 1.2 goals per home match over that period.
What is Toulouse's away record?
Away from home, Toulouse have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away fixtures - a 40% away win rate. They score an average of 1.7 goals per away match.