Serie B

The relegation battle is tight: Avaí begin the danger zone in 18th with 13 points, just 2 points behind Londrina in safety. América Mineiro prop up the table with 6 points and a 10:26 goal record after 15 matches.

Criciúma carry the strongest recent form in Serie B with 4 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: W-W-D-W-W). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, Náutico (L-L-D-L-L in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

By squad market value, Fortaleza lead Serie B at €34.40m (7th in the table, 25 pts), ahead of Sport Recife at €22.45m. StatsBrain stores Transfermarkt valuations alongside performance data to contextualise each club's results relative to squad investment.

StatsBrain publishes 7 active pre-match statistical projections for the 2026 Serie B season. The next fixture on the calendar is Botafogo SP vs CRB. 1 of these 7 fixtures carry a model confidence score of 75 or above, indicating a clearer separation in the projected outcome distribution. Each linked match page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.

Over the last 20 completed Serie B fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 50% (10/20), draws made up 15% and away wins 35%. Those matches averaged 2.15 goals per game. Across the current upcoming slate, the model assigns an average 52% home / 26% draw / 22% away probability split - a direct comparison point against the observed 50% / 15% / 35% outcome mix from recent results.

Simulated scorelines across the upcoming Serie B slate average 1.71 total goals per fixture. The strongest current projection is Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta (96% model confidence, simulated scoreline 1-2 - 0, probability split 96% home · 4% draw · 0% away). The model's dominant signal for that fixture is: Awaiting Data.

StatsBrain's Serie B modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.