Serie C

The relegation battle is tight: Confiança begin the danger zone in 18th with 11 points, just 1 point behind Barra FC in safety. Anápolis prop up the table with 8 points and a 8:14 goal record after 11 matches.

Guarani carry the strongest recent form in Serie C with 3 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: W-W-W-L-D). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, Maringá (D-L-D-D-D in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

StatsBrain publishes 10 active pre-match statistical projections for the 2026 Serie C season. The next fixture on the calendar is Caxias vs Anápolis. 2 of these 10 fixtures carry a model confidence score of 75 or above, indicating a clearer separation in the projected outcome distribution. Each linked match page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.

Over the last 20 completed Serie C fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 40% (8/20), draws made up 45% and away wins 15%. Those matches averaged 1.80 goals per game. Across the current upcoming slate, the model assigns an average 42% home / 26% draw / 32% away probability split - a direct comparison point against the observed 40% / 45% / 15% outcome mix from recent results.

Simulated scorelines across the upcoming Serie C slate average 1.20 total goals per fixture. The strongest current projection is Maringá vs Volta Redonda (92% model confidence, simulated scoreline 1-2 - 0, probability split 92% home · 8% draw · 0% away). The model's dominant signal for that fixture is: Awaiting Data.

StatsBrain's Serie C modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.