Bahia vs Grêmio — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Serie A2026-05-17 · 22:00
Bahia€114.35m1 – 0
1–0
Alternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
Grêmio€103.85mStatsBrain AI: Bahia · 57% confidence
Match Statistics
1Goals0
54Possession %46
1.55xG0.71
14Total Shots11
5Shots on Target3
50Dangerous Attacks33
6Corners3
AI Insights
⚡ Offensive consistency: Bahia has scored at least one goal in all of their last 5 matches.
⚡ Goal-fest: 4 of Bahia's last 5 fixtures featured over 2.5 goals.
⚡ Solid defense: Grêmio kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5 games.
Statistical Scenarios
Maximum Probability
No Maximum Probability
Mathematical Opportunity
Under 2.5 Goals58%
Combined Projection
1X & Under 4.5 Goals74%
Head to Head
3 matches
2Bahia
0Draws
1Grêmio
League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 25:12 | 34 | WDD |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27:12 | 31 | WDW |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25:20 | 27 | WLD |
| 4 |  São Paulo | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 24 | WDL |
| 5 |  Athletico PR | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20:16 | 23 | WDL |
| 6 | Bahia | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 23 | DDL |
| 7 |  Vasco da Gama | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21:21 | 20 | LDW |
| 8 | Coritiba | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:19 | 20 | LLD |
| 9 |  Bragantino | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:18 | 20 | LWL |
| 10 |  Vitória | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:20 | 20 | LWD |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26:27 | 19 | DLD |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:25 | 19 | WLW |
| 13 |  Internacional | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:16 | 18 | DWD |
| 14 |  Santos | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:22 | 18 | DDW |
| 15 |  Corinthians | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 13:15 | 18 | WLW |
| 16 |  Atlético Mineiro | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:21 | 18 | LWD |
| 17 | Grêmio | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 | WDL |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:20 | 14 | LWD |
| 19 |  Remo | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16:25 | 12 | LWD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 14:27 | 10 | LLD |
Performance Radar
BahiaGrêmioMetric
Home
Away
Possession
54%
46%
xG
1.55
0.71
Shots on Target
5
3
Danger. Attacks
50
33
Corners
6
3
Upcoming in Serie A
League →Recent results in Serie A
League →- 16 MayFluminense2 – 1São Paulo
- 16 MayAtlético Mineiro3 – 1Mirassol
- 16 MayInternacional4 – 1Vasco da Gama
- 10 MayVasco da Gama1 – 0Athletico PR
- 10 MayGrêmio0 – 1Flamengo
- 10 MayMirassol1 – 1Chapecoense
- 10 MayCorinthians3 – 2São Paulo
- 10 MaySantos2 – 0Bragantino
- 10 MayRemo1 – 1Palmeiras
- 10 MayAtlético Mineiro1 – 1Botafogo
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.