Corinthians vs São Paulo — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Serie A2026-05-11 · 00:30
Corinthians€154.30mAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
São Paulo€83.55mWelcome to a classic Paulista Derby at the iconic Neo Química Arena! Corinthians, with their fervent 'Fiel' faithful, clash with historic rivals São Paulo. Both Brazilian football giants, multiple national champions, boast decades in the top flight, guaranteeing an electrifying atmosphere and a contest of immense pride. Our advanced model forecasts a razor-thin contest, with a draw (34.6%) marginally most probable. Corinthians is projected to hold 51% possession, yet São Paulo's higher xG (1.29 vs 1.08) indicates a sharper offensive edge. São Paulo's efficiency in front of goal could therefore dictate the outcome, overcoming Corinthians's midfield control.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 33 | WWD |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26:12 | 28 | WWD |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25:20 | 27 | WLD |
| 4 | São Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 24 | LWD |
| 5 |  Athletico PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 23 | LWD |
| 6 |  Bahia | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 23 | DDL |
| 7 |  Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 20 | WLW |
| 8 | Coritiba | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:19 | 20 | LLD |
| 9 |  Vitória | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:20 | 20 | LWD |
| 10 |  Cruzeiro | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:25 | 19 | WLW |
| 11 |  Internacional | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:16 | 18 | DWD |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25:26 | 18 | WDL |
| 13 |  Grêmio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | 17 | LWD |
| 14 |  Vasco da Gama | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 | WLD |
| 15 |  Atlético Mineiro | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | 17 | LLW |
| 16 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | 15 | DWL |
| 17 |  Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | 15 | LDD |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | 13 | WLW |
| 19 |  Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | 11 | LLW |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13:26 | 9 | LLL |
CorinthiansSão PauloUpcoming in Serie A
League →Recent results in Serie A
League →- 16 MayFluminense2 – 1São Paulo
- 16 MayAtlético Mineiro3 – 1Mirassol
- 16 MayInternacional4 – 1Vasco da Gama
- 10 MayVasco da Gama1 – 0Athletico PR
- 10 MayGrêmio0 – 1Flamengo
- 10 MayMirassol1 – 1Chapecoense
- 10 MaySantos2 – 0Bragantino
- 10 MayRemo1 – 1Palmeiras
- 10 MayAtlético Mineiro1 – 1Botafogo
- 10 MayBahia1 – 2Cruzeiro
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.