Guarani vs Fortaleza — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Serie B2026-05-11 · 00:30
GuaraniN/AAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
Fortaleza€34.40mWelcome to what promises to be an intriguing encounter from the Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa, where the historic Guarani, champions of Brazil in 1978, host the formidable Fortaleza. This fixture pits a club with deep roots and a passionate home support against a side that has established itself as a consistent force in recent top-flight campaigns. Our models indicate Fortaleza are marginal favorites (38.68% win probability), though a draw is highly probable (35.49%). Intriguingly, Guarani is projected for 51% possession and a higher Expected Goals of 1.19 to Fortaleza's 1.07. This suggests Guarani will control the ball and create more, but Fortaleza's superior win probability implies clinical finishing or defensive strength. Expect a tactical duel where marginal gains decide a tight affair.
No head-to-head data available.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sport Recife | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 | WWW |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 14 | WDW |
| 3 |  São Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 13 | WWW |
| 4 |  Vila Nova | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 | DDL |
| 5 |  Criciúma | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 | WDD |
| 6 |  Juventude | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5:4 | 12 | WDD |
| 7 |  Operário PR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | 12 | DWL |
| 8 | Atlético GO | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 11 | WDW |
| 9 |  Ceará | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 10 | DLL |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 | LDD |
| 11 |  Náutico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 10 | LWD |
| 12 |  Goiás | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | 10 | LLW |
| 13 |  Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 9 | DDD |
| 14 | Avaí | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 | LLD |
| 15 |  Novorizontino | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 | WLD |
| 16 | Cuiabá | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4:4 | 9 | DDD |
| 17 |  CRB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 8 | LWW |
| 18 |  Ponte Preta | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | 7 | WLL |
| 19 |  Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 5 | DLL |
| 20 |  América Mineiro | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | 2 | DLL |
GuaraniFortalezaUpcoming in Serie B
League →
Recent results in Serie B
League →- 16 MayGoiás1 – 0Botafogo SP
- 16 MayOperário PR2 – 6Náutico
- 16 MaySão Bernardo1 – 1América Mineiro
- 12 MayLondrina1 – 3São Bernardo
- 10 MayNovorizontino1 – 0Botafogo SP
- 10 MayNáutico4 – 0América Mineiro
- 10 MayJuventude0 – 0Criciúma
- 9 MayPonte Preta1 – 3Sport Recife
- 9 MayGoiás1 – 0Vila Nova
- 9 MayCRB3 – 0Operário PR
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.