Santos vs Bragantino — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Serie A2026-05-11 · 00:30
Santos€98.95mAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
Bragantino€89.00mWelcome to this elite preview as two intriguing Brazilian giants clash: Santos versus Bragantino. At the iconic Vila Belmiro, a stadium steeped in history and hallowed by legends, the atmosphere will be electric. Santos, a club synonymous with global footballing royalty and multiple Libertadores crowns, carries immense prestige. Their opponents, Bragantino, represent a modern, ascendant force, consistently challenging at the top. This promises a fascinating encounter where heritage meets contemporary ambition. Our advanced mathematical models offer clear insight. Bragantino are projected as strong favorites with a 52.97% win probability, compared to Santos's 21.69%. This dominance is underpinned by a significant Expected Goals advantage, with Bragantino’s 1.95 xG capability vastly outperforming Santos’s 0.87. We anticipate Bragantino controlling the tempo with 52% expected possession. Tactically, Bragantino will dictate the flow, creating superior opportunities, suggesting they are well-positioned to secure the points.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 33 | WWD |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26:12 | 28 | WWD |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25:20 | 27 | WLD |
| 4 |  São Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 24 | LWD |
| 5 |  Athletico PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 23 | LWD |
| 6 |  Bahia | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 23 | DDL |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 20 | WLW |
| 8 | Coritiba | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:19 | 20 | LLD |
| 9 |  Vitória | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:20 | 20 | LWD |
| 10 |  Cruzeiro | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:25 | 19 | WLW |
| 11 |  Internacional | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:16 | 18 | DWD |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25:26 | 18 | WDL |
| 13 |  Grêmio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | 17 | LWD |
| 14 |  Vasco da Gama | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 | WLD |
| 15 |  Atlético Mineiro | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | 17 | LLW |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | 15 | DWL |
| 17 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | 15 | LDD |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | 13 | WLW |
| 19 |  Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | 11 | LLW |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13:26 | 9 | LLL |
SantosBragantinoUpcoming in Serie A
League →Recent results in Serie A
League →- 16 MayFluminense2 – 1São Paulo
- 16 MayAtlético Mineiro3 – 1Mirassol
- 16 MayInternacional4 – 1Vasco da Gama
- 10 MayVasco da Gama1 – 0Athletico PR
- 10 MayGrêmio0 – 1Flamengo
- 10 MayMirassol1 – 1Chapecoense
- 10 MayCorinthians3 – 2São Paulo
- 10 MayRemo1 – 1Palmeiras
- 10 MayAtlético Mineiro1 – 1Botafogo
- 10 MayBahia1 – 2Cruzeiro
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.