Arouca vs Tondela — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections

Liga Portugal2026-05-16 · 20:00

Arouca€26.15m

1 – 0

1–0-1

Alternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.

Tondela€24.15m

StatsBrain AI: Arouca · 41% confidence

Match Statistics

1Goals0

54Possession %46

1.13xG1.28

11Total Shots10

4Shots on Target3

39Dangerous Attacks34

5Corners4

AI Insights

⚡ Goal-fest: 6 of Arouca's last 7 fixtures featured over 2.5 goals.

⚡ Offensive consistency: Arouca has scored at least one goal in all of their last 5 matches.

⚡ Offensive consistency: Arouca has scored at least one goal in all of their last 7 matches.

Statistical Scenarios

Maximum Probability

No Maximum Probability

Mathematical Opportunity

Under 2.5 Goals65%

Combined Projection

1X & Under 5.5 Goals71%

Head to Head

2 matches

1Arouca

0Draws

1Tondela

2026-05-16

Arouca

3 – 1

Tondela

Liga Portugal

2026-01-03

Tondela

3 – 1

Arouca

Liga 462

League Standings

Arouca11/18Tondela17/18

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	Goals	Pts	Form
1	Porto	33	27	4	2	65:18	85	WWWWL
2	Sporting CP	33	24	7	2	86:24	79	LDDWW
3	Benfica	33	22	11	0	71:24	77	WWWDD
4	Sporting Braga	33	16	10	7	62:34	58	DWLDD
5	Famalicão	33	14	11	8	41:29	53	DDWDD
6	Gil Vicente	33	13	11	9	47:35	50	DLWDL
7	Vitória Guimarães	33	12	6	15	39:49	42	DWWLL
8	Moreirense	33	12	6	15	37:49	42	DWLWL
9	Estoril	33	10	9	14	53:54	39	LLLDD
10	Alverca	33	10	9	14	35:51	39	WLWLD
11	Arouca	33	11	6	16	44:63	39	LWLDW
12	Santa Clara	33	9	9	15	32:40	36	LDWDW
13	Rio Ave	33	8	11	14	34:56	35	WDLDL
14	Nacional	33	8	7	18	35:45	31	LWWLL
15	Estrela Amadora	33	6	11	16	36:54	29	LLLLD
16	Casa Pia	33	6	11	16	30:56	29	DLLLW
17	Tondela	33	6	10	17	26:52	28	LLDWW
18	AVS	33	3	11	19	27:67	20	DDDWW

Performance Radar

Arouca

Tondela

Metric

Home

Away

Possession

54%

46%

xG

1.13

1.28

Shots on Target

4

3

Danger. Attacks

39

34

Corners

5

4

Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.