Nacional vs Vitória Guimarães — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections

Liga Portugal2026-05-16 · 20:00

Nacional€22.48m

0 – 1

0-1–1

Alternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.

Vitória Guimarães€36.00m

StatsBrain AI: Vitória Guimarães · 39% confidence

Match Statistics

0Goals1

49Possession %51

0.78xG0.81

11Total Shots14

4Shots on Target4

31Dangerous Attacks45

4Corners5

AI Insights

⚡ High corners: Over 9.5 corners were recorded in 8 of Nacional's last 10 games.

⚡ Baseline attack: Nacional averages 1.5 goals scored per game recently.

⚡ Baseline attack: Vitória Guimarães averages 2.1 goals scored per game recently.

Statistical Scenarios

Maximum Probability

No Maximum Probability

Mathematical Opportunity

Under 2.5 Goals63%

Combined Projection

X2 & Under 5.5 Goals69%

Head to Head

4 matches

1Nacional

1Draws

2Vitória

2026-05-16

Nacional

2 – 0

Vitória Guimarães

Liga Portugal

2026-01-02

Vitória Guimarães

2 – 1

Nacional

Liga 462

2025-05-03

Nacional

1 – 2

Vitória Guimarães

Liga 462

2024-12-23

Vitória Guimarães

2 – 2

Nacional

Liga 462

League Standings

Nacional14/18Vitória Guimarães7/18

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	Goals	Pts	Form
1	Porto	33	27	4	2	65:18	85	WWWWL
2	Sporting CP	33	24	7	2	86:24	79	LDDWW
3	Benfica	33	22	11	0	71:24	77	WWWDD
4	Sporting Braga	33	16	10	7	62:34	58	DWLDD
5	Famalicão	33	14	11	8	41:29	53	DDWDD
6	Gil Vicente	33	13	11	9	47:35	50	DLWDL
7	Vitória Guimarães	33	12	6	15	39:49	42	DWWLL
8	Moreirense	33	12	6	15	37:49	42	DWLWL
9	Estoril	33	10	9	14	53:54	39	LLLDD
10	Alverca	33	10	9	14	35:51	39	WLWLD
11	Arouca	33	11	6	16	44:63	39	LWLDW
12	Santa Clara	33	9	9	15	32:40	36	LDWDW
13	Rio Ave	33	8	11	14	34:56	35	WDLDL
14	Nacional	33	8	7	18	35:45	31	LWWLL
15	Estrela Amadora	33	6	11	16	36:54	29	LLLLD
16	Casa Pia	33	6	11	16	30:56	29	DLLLW
17	Tondela	33	6	10	17	26:52	28	LLDWW
18	AVS	33	3	11	19	27:67	20	DDDWW

Performance Radar

Nacional

Vitória Guimarães

Metric

Home

Away

Possession

49%

51%

xG

0.78

0.81

Shots on Target

4

4

Danger. Attacks

31

45

Corners

4

5

Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.