Casa Pia vs Rio Ave — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections

Liga Portugal2026-05-16 · 20:00

Casa Pia€24.80m

0 – 1

0–0-1

Alternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.

Rio Ave€33.65m

StatsBrain AI: Rio Ave · 39% confidence

Match Statistics

0Goals1

45Possession %55

0.74xG1.14

8Total Shots11

2Shots on Target4

35Dangerous Attacks41

4Corners5

AI Insights

⚡ Tight games: 5 of Casa Pia's last 5 matches ended with under 2.5 goals.

⚡ Tight games: 4 of Rio Ave's last 5 matches ended with under 2.5 goals.

⚡ Solid defense: Rio Ave kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 7 games.

Statistical Scenarios

Maximum Probability

No Maximum Probability

Mathematical Opportunity

Under 2.5 Goals74%

Combined Projection

Under 2.5 Goals74%

Head to Head

4 matches

1Casa

2Draws

1Rio

2026-05-16

Casa Pia

1 – 1

Rio Ave

Liga Portugal

2026-01-04

Rio Ave

3 – 1

Casa Pia

Liga 462

2025-03-29

Casa Pia

2 – 1

Rio Ave

Liga 462

2024-11-02

Rio Ave

2 – 2

Casa Pia

Liga 462

League Standings

Casa Pia16/18Rio Ave13/18

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	Goals	Pts	Form
1	Porto	33	27	4	2	65:18	85	WWWWL
2	Sporting CP	33	24	7	2	86:24	79	LDDWW
3	Benfica	33	22	11	0	71:24	77	WWWDD
4	Sporting Braga	33	16	10	7	62:34	58	DWLDD
5	Famalicão	33	14	11	8	41:29	53	DDWDD
6	Gil Vicente	33	13	11	9	47:35	50	DLWDL
7	Vitória Guimarães	33	12	6	15	39:49	42	DWWLL
8	Moreirense	33	12	6	15	37:49	42	DWLWL
9	Estoril	33	10	9	14	53:54	39	LLLDD
10	Alverca	33	10	9	14	35:51	39	WLWLD
11	Arouca	33	11	6	16	44:63	39	LWLDW
12	Santa Clara	33	9	9	15	32:40	36	LDWDW
13	Rio Ave	33	8	11	14	34:56	35	WDLDL
14	Nacional	33	8	7	18	35:45	31	LWWLL
15	Estrela Amadora	33	6	11	16	36:54	29	LLLLD
16	Casa Pia	33	6	11	16	30:56	29	DLLLW
17	Tondela	33	6	10	17	26:52	28	LLDWW
18	AVS	33	3	11	19	27:67	20	DDDWW

Performance Radar

Casa Pia

Rio Ave

Metric

Home

Away

Possession

45%

55%

xG

0.74

1.14

Shots on Target

2

4

Danger. Attacks

35

41

Corners

4

5

Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.