Inter de Limeira vs Santa Cruz — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Serie C2026-05-12 · 02:00
Inter de LimeiraN/AAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
Santa CruzN/AWelcome to a truly captivating encounter in Brazilian football as Inter de Limeira hosts Santa Cruz at the historic Estádio Major José Levy Sobrinho, affectionately known as the Limeirão. This fixture pits a club with one of the most remarkable stories – Inter de Limeira, famed for their incredible 1986 Campeonato Brasileiro Série A triumph, a true David vs Goliath moment – against the venerable tradition and passionate heritage of Santa Cruz. Hailing from Pernambuco, Santa Cruz Futebol Clube is a storied institution with a deep-rooted fanbase, the 'Coral Tricolor.' Expect a charged atmosphere where the weight of legacy meets modern ambition in competitive state league football. Transitioning to the data, our advanced mathematical model projects a finely balanced contest; a draw holds the highest probability at 38.45%. Santa Cruz's expected 54% possession suggests they will dictate tempo and control midfield. However, Inter de Limeira boasts a superior Expected Goals (xG) capability of 1.16 versus Santa Cruz's 0.83. This disparity implies Santa Cruz will command the ball, but Inter will create higher-quality scoring opportunities. The match hinges on Santa Cruz's ability to convert possession into threats against Inter's crucial clinicality, which underpins the hosts' 36.93% win probability. Expect a tactical chess match.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:6 | 14 | WWW |
| 2 |  Amazonas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 13 | WWD |
| 3 |  Brusque | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:6 | 11 | WWD |
| 4 |  Ypiranga Erechim | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 | WLW |
| 5 |  Maranhão | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 | WWW |
| 6 |  Guarani | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 | DDW |
| 7 |  Floresta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 | WLD |
| 8 |  Maringá | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:12 | 9 | LLW |
| 9 |  Barra FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 8 | DDW |
| 10 | Inter de Limeira | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 | DDW |
| 11 |  Caxias | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 | LWD |
| 12 |  Ituano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 | DWL |
| 13 | Botafogo PB | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | 6 | LLL |
| 14 |  Ferroviária | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 | Santa Cruz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:4 | 4 | LLL |
| 16 |  Volta Redonda | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 | WLD |
| 17 |  Figueirense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | 4 | WLL |
| 18 |  Confiança | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:5 | 3 | WLL |
| 19 | Anápolis | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:11 | 3 | WLL |
| 20 |  Itabaiana | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 2 | LLD |
Inter de LimeiraSanta CruzUpcoming in Serie C
League →Recent results in Serie C
League →- 16 MayFloresta3 – 2Amazonas
- 16 MayFigueirense0 – 1Itabaiana
- 16 MayYpiranga Erechim1 – 4Maringá
- 16 MaySanta Cruz2 – 0Volta Redonda
- 11 MayMaringá0 – 5Guarani
- 10 MayBrusque3 – 0Ypiranga Erechim
- 10 MayItuano1 – 0Confiança
- 10 MayAmazonas0 – 1Figueirense
- 10 MayBarra FC0 – 0Caxias
- 10 MayVolta Redonda0 – 0Ferroviária
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.