Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Ekstraklasa2026-05-13 · 21:30
Raków Częstochowa€40.00mAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
Jagiellonia Białystok€34.68mTonight, the formidable Miejski Stadion Raków hosts a compelling Ekstraklasa encounter. Recent champions Raków Częstochowa welcome Jagiellonia Białystok, a side with a consistent top-flight presence. This fixture promises a fiercely contested affair, emblematic of the competitive spirit within Polish football, under what is always a passionate atmosphere. Our analytical model projects a razor-thin contest: Raków (35.15%) and Jagiellonia (34.48%) show near-identical win probabilities, with a significant 30.31% draw. Expected Goals are even at 1.09 for both, signalling a low-scoring affair. Jagiellonia’s projected 54% possession implies they will control tempo. This data anticipates a finely balanced, tactical battle, likely decided by one decisive moment.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lech Poznań | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 56:41 | 56 | WWD |
| 2 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 51:39 | 49 | WLW |
| 3 |  Górnik Zabrze | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 43:36 | 49 | WWL |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 | LDW |
| 5 |  Katowice | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 48:42 | 48 | DWD |
| 6 | Raków Częstochowa | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 43:37 | 47 | WWD |
| 7 |  Wisła Płock | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | 45 | LLL |
| 8 |  Radomiak Radom | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 49:44 | 43 | WWW |
| 9 | Lechia Gdańsk | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 59:60 | 43 | LLL |
| 10 |  Motor Lublin | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 43:46 | 42 | LLW |
| 11 |  Piast Gliwice | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 40:41 | 41 | WDD |
| 12 |  Pogoń Szczecin | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 45:48 | 41 | DWL |
| 13 |  Korona Kielce | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 38:37 | 40 | DDD |
| 14 |  Legia Warszawa | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | 40 | WLW |
| 15 |  Widzew Lodz | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 39:39 | 39 | WLW |
| 16 |  Cracovia Kraków | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | 39 | LDD |
| 17 |  Arka Gdynia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 31:54 | 35 | LLD |
| 18 |  Nieciecza | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | 28 | LWL |
Raków CzęstochowaJagiellonia BiałystokUpcoming in Ekstraklasa
League →Recent results in Ekstraklasa
League →- 16 MayRadomiak Radom1 – 3Lech Poznań
- 16 MayWisła Płock0 – 1Górnik Zabrze
- 16 MayMotor Lublin3 – 3Cracovia Kraków
- 15 MayKorona Kielce1 – 0Widzew Lodz
- 15 MayZagłębie Lubin0 – 1Pogoń Szczecin
- 13 MayArka Gdynia0 – 0Górnik Zabrze
- 11 MayCracovia Kraków0 – 0Radomiak Radom
- 10 MayNieciecza0 – 1Legia Warszawa
- 10 MayWisła Płock0 – 4Motor Lublin
- 10 MayPiast Gliwice0 – 0Katowice
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.