Tondela vs Moreirense — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Liga Portugal2026-05-11 · 22:15
Tondela€24.15mAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
Moreirense€29.95mWelcome to the Estádio João Cardoso, a venerable ground known for its vibrant, intimate atmosphere. This fixture pits Tondela against Moreirense, a classic clash in Portugal’s competitive football landscape. Neither club boasts a gilded trophy cabinet or centuries of top-flight history, yet their encounters are often fiercely contested, showcasing the league's raw passion and unpredictable nature. This promises to be a gripping contest. Our models project Moreirense as clear favorites, holding a 53.22% win probability. Their superior Expected Goals (1.17 vs 0.88) signals greater attacking threat. With anticipated 52% possession, Moreirense are poised to control tempo and dictate play. Tondela will require defensive resilience and clinical finishing to counter these metrics, as Moreirense are statistically positioned to secure the points.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 85 | WWW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 82:23 | 76 | DDW |
| 3 |  Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 76 | WWD |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 57 | WLD |
| 5 |  Famalicão | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 52 | DWD |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 50 | LWD |
| 7 |  Vitória Guimarães | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:48 | 42 | WWL |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | 42 | WLW |
| 9 |  Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | 38 | LLD |
| 10 |  Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 38 | LWL |
| 11 |  Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | 36 | WLD |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | 35 | DLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | 33 | DWD |
| 14 |  Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | 31 | WWL |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | 28 | LLL |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | 26 | LLL |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | 25 | LDW |
| 18 |  AVS | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | 17 | DDW |
TondelaMoreirenseRecent results in Liga Portugal
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