Almagro - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data

Over their last 10 Primera B Nacional fixtures, Almagro have scored 11 goals (1.1 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 13 (1.3 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency within acceptable thresholds. A negative goal difference of -2 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.

Home fixture record (last 5 Primera B Nacional matches): 3W–1D–1L - 60% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 1W–1D–3L - 20% away win rate. The pronounced gap between home and away win rates signals a strong home advantage - a variable that StatsBrain's location-adjusted model weights heavily.

StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving Almagro in Primera B Nacional. The next modelled fixture is Almagro at home to Atlético Rafaela on Sat, 4 July 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.

Over Almagro's last 6 Primera B Nacional matches, the observed outcome mix is 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (50% win rate). That sample averages 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns Almagro a 37% win probability (full split: 37% home · 34% draw · 29% away) - a direct comparison point against the 50% win rate from recent completed matches.

The current simulated scoreline for Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela is 0–0 (0 for Almagro, 0 for Atlético Rafaela)

StatsBrain's Almagro modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.