Bastia Stats & Results

This season, Bastia have scored 10 goals in 12 Ligue 3 matches (0.83 per match) and conceded 14 (1.17 per match), a goal difference of -4. The Ligue 3 average is 1.19 goals per team per match. Among 18 teams, Bastia have the 15th best attack and the 8th best defence.

Home record this season (6 Ligue 3 matches): 1W-2D-3L - 17% home win rate; away record (6 matches): 3W-1D-2L - 50% away win rate. Bastia have won more often away than at home this season, so the usual home advantage does not show in their results.

StatsBrain publishes 3 active pre-match projections involving Bastia in Ligue 3. The next modelled fixture is Bastia at home to Villefranche on Sat, 21 November 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.

Over Bastia's last 5 Ligue 3 matches, the observed outcome mix is 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (20% win rate). That sample averages 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration.

StatsBrain's Bastia modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into a Poisson model with weighted statistics. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.