Emelec - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · Liga Pro
Recent form (last 5)
Emelec have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat across their last 6 Liga Pro matches (50% win rate) - a statistically positive performance trend over this sample. That return of 11 points from a possible 18 reflects an above-average conversion rate over this period.
League Standings · Liga Pro · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 37 | |
| 2 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 27 | |
| 3 |  Universidad Católica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 | |
| 4 |  Barcelona Guayaquil | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 26 | |
| 5 |  Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 | |
| 6 |  LDU Quito | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:13 | 24 | |
| 7 |  Orense | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 22 | |
| 8 | Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | 22 | |
| 9 |  Técnico Universitario | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 20 | |
| 10 |  Macará | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | 20 | |
| 11 |  Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | 19 | |
| 12 |  Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | 18 | |
| 13 |  Leones del Norte | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Libertad | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | 17 | |
| 15 |  Delfin | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | 16 | |
| 16 |  Manta | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7:19 | 12 |
Team Analysis · Liga Pro
Over their last 10 Liga Pro fixtures, Emelec have scored 8 goals (0.8 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 9 (0.9 per match), reflecting a defensively efficient record, placing them in the upper tier for goals conceded. A negative goal difference of -1 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.
Home fixture record (last 5 Liga Pro matches): 3W–1D–1L - 60% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 1W–2D–2L - 20% away win rate. The pronounced gap between home and away win rates signals a strong home advantage - a variable that StatsBrain's location-adjusted model weights heavily.
Statistical Modelling · Liga Pro
StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving Emelec in Liga Pro. The next modelled fixture is Emelec away against Delfin on Thu, 2 July 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.
Over Emelec's last 6 Liga Pro matches, the observed outcome mix is 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (50% win rate). That sample averages 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns Emelec a 42% win probability (full split: 27% home · 31% draw · 42% away) - a direct comparison point against the 50% win rate from recent completed matches.
The current simulated scoreline for Emelec vs Delfin is 0–0 (0 for Emelec, 0 for Delfin)
StatsBrain's Emelec modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Upcoming Match Projections · Emelec
1
Recent Results · Emelec
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.00 | 0.63 | 1.63 |
| Average Corners | 5.50 | 3.63 | 9.13 |
Frequently Asked Questions · Emelec
9What is Emelec's recent form?
Across their last 6 Liga Pro fixtures, Emelec have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat - a 50% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Emelec score per game?
Emelec have scored an average of 0.80 goals per match across their last 10 Liga Pro fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 0.90 goals per game.
What is Emelec's home record?
In their last 10 home Liga Pro fixtures, Emelec have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 - a 60% home win rate. They average 1.6 goals per home match over that period.
What is Emelec's away record?
Away from home, Emelec have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 Liga Pro away fixtures - a 20% away win rate. They score an average of 0.5 goals per away match.