Moreton City Excelsior - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · Npl Queensland
Recent form (last 5)
Moreton City Excelsior have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats across their last 6 Npl Queensland matches (33% win rate) - a statistically neutral performance trend over this sample. That return of 8 points from a possible 18 is consistent with mid-table efficiency over this sample.
League Standings · Npl Queensland · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Peninsula Power | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 36:18 | 36 | |
| 2 |  Queensland Lions | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 32 | |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 41:23 | 29 | |
| 4 |  Eastern Suburbs Brisbane | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 31:23 | 28 | |
| 5 |  Gold Coast Knights | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 36:23 | 27 | |
| 6 |  Brisbane City | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 36:34 | 26 | |
| 7 |  Wynnum Wolves FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26:27 | 24 | |
| 8 |  Olympic FC Brisbane | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 31:33 | 20 | |
| 9 |  Rochedale Rovers | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25:40 | 14 | |
| 10 |  Gold Coast United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18:31 | 11 | |
| 11 | Magic United | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18:49 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Brisbane Roar II | 16 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 21:41 | 9 |
Team Analysis · Npl Queensland
Over their last 10 Npl Queensland fixtures, Moreton City Excelsior have scored 30 goals (3.0 per match) - above-league-average attacking output - and conceded 16 (1.6 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency below league average, indicating structural vulnerabilities. A goal difference of +14 across this sample is a strong positive indicator of both attacking threat and defensive solidity.
Home fixture record (last 5 Npl Queensland matches): 3W–1D–1L - 60% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 3W–1D–1L - 60% away win rate. The similarity between home and away performance suggests Moreton City Excelsior are broadly consistent regardless of location.
Statistical Modelling · Npl Queensland
StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving Moreton City Excelsior in Npl Queensland. The next modelled fixture is Moreton City Excelsior away against Gold Coast United on Sun, 28 June 2026. 1 upcoming Npl Queensland fixture for Moreton City Excelsior carry a model confidence score of 75 or above. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.
Over Moreton City Excelsior's last 6 Npl Queensland matches, the observed outcome mix is 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats (33% win rate). That sample averages 3.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns Moreton City Excelsior a 80% win probability (full split: 0% home · 20% draw · 80% away) - a direct comparison point against the 33% win rate from recent completed matches.
The current simulated scoreline for Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United is 0–1 (1 for Moreton City Excelsior, 0 for Gold Coast United) with a 80% model confidence score.
StatsBrain's Moreton City Excelsior modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Upcoming Match Projections · Moreton City Excelsior
1Recent Results · Moreton City Excelsior
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 2.38 | 2.38 | 4.75 |
| Average Corners | 5.00 | 4.38 | 9.38 |
Npl Queensland8Moreton City ExcelsiorRochedale RoversEastern Suburbs BrisbaneMoreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City ExcelsiorQueensland LionsMoreton City ExcelsiorPeninsula PowerFrequently Asked Questions · Moreton City Excelsior
9What is Moreton City Excelsior's recent form?
Across their last 6 Npl Queensland fixtures, Moreton City Excelsior have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats - a 33% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Moreton City Excelsior score per game?
Moreton City Excelsior have scored an average of 3.00 goals per match across their last 10 Npl Queensland fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.60 goals per game.
What is Moreton City Excelsior's home record?
In their last 10 home Npl Queensland fixtures, Moreton City Excelsior have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 - a 70% home win rate. They average 3.1 goals per home match over that period.
What is Moreton City Excelsior's away record?
Away from home, Moreton City Excelsior have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 Npl Queensland away fixtures - a 50% away win rate. They score an average of 1.8 goals per away match.