Toluca Stats & Results

This season, Toluca have scored 35 goals in 16 Liga MX matches (2.19 per match) and conceded 21 (1.31 per match), a goal difference of +14. The Liga MX average is 1.51 goals per team per match. Among 18 teams, Toluca have the 3rd best attack and the 4th best defence.

Home record this season (8 Liga MX matches): 4W-2D-2L - 50% home win rate; away record (8 matches): 3W-4D-1L - 38% away win rate. Toluca win more often at home than away, a common pattern across most leagues.

StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving Toluca in Liga MX. The next modelled fixture is Toluca away against Pachuca on Sun, 22 November 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.

Over Toluca's last 5 Liga MX matches, the observed outcome mix is 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats (20% win rate). That sample averages 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration.

StatsBrain's Toluca modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into a Poisson model with weighted statistics. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.