Universidad Católica - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · Liga Pro
Recent form (last 5)
Universidad Católica have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats across their last 6 Liga Pro matches (17% win rate) - a below-average performance trend over this sample. That return of 4 points from a possible 18 represents a below-average points conversion rate - a factor the StatsBrain model flags as a short-term performance concern.
League Standings · Liga Pro · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 37 | |
| 2 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 27 | |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 | |
| 4 |  Barcelona Guayaquil | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 26 | |
| 5 |  Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 | |
| 6 |  LDU Quito | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:13 | 24 | |
| 7 |  Orense | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 22 | |
| 8 |  Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | 22 | |
| 9 |  Técnico Universitario | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 20 | |
| 10 |  Macará | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | 20 | |
| 11 |  Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | 19 | |
| 12 |  Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | 18 | |
| 13 |  Leones del Norte | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Libertad | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | 17 | |
| 15 |  Delfin | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | 16 | |
| 16 |  Manta | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7:19 | 12 |
Team Analysis · Liga Pro
Over their last 10 Liga Pro fixtures, Universidad Católica have scored 16 goals (1.6 per match) - productive attacking output consistent with mid-table averages - and conceded 11 (1.1 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency within acceptable thresholds. A goal difference of +5 across this sample reflects a broadly balanced team that creates more than it concedes.
Home fixture record (last 5 Liga Pro matches): 2W–2D–1L - 40% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 2W–0D–3L - 40% away win rate. The similarity between home and away performance suggests Universidad Católica are broadly consistent regardless of location.
Statistical Modelling · Liga Pro
StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving Universidad Católica in Liga Pro. The next modelled fixture is Universidad Católica at home to Mushuc Runa on Sun, 5 July 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.
Over Universidad Católica's last 6 Liga Pro matches, the observed outcome mix is 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats (17% win rate). That sample averages 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns Universidad Católica a 60% win probability (full split: 60% home · 28% draw · 12% away) - a direct comparison point against the 17% win rate from recent completed matches.
The current simulated scoreline for Universidad Católica vs Mushuc Runa is 1–0 (1 for Universidad Católica, 0 for Mushuc Runa)
StatsBrain's Universidad Católica modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Upcoming Match Projections · Universidad Católica
1Recent Results · Universidad Católica
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.88 | 1.00 | 2.88 |
| Average Corners | 5.88 | 3.38 | 9.25 |
Liga Pro8EmelecOrenseUniversidad CatólicaAucasUniversidad CatólicaMantaUniversidad CatólicaUniversidad CatólicaFrequently Asked Questions · Universidad Católica
9What is Universidad Católica's recent form?
Across their last 6 Liga Pro fixtures, Universidad Católica have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats - a 17% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Universidad Católica score per game?
Universidad Católica have scored an average of 1.60 goals per match across their last 10 Liga Pro fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.10 goals per game.
What is Universidad Católica's home record?
In their last 8 home Liga Pro fixtures, Universidad Católica have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 1 - a 63% home win rate. They average 2.4 goals per home match over that period.
What is Universidad Católica's away record?
Away from home, Universidad Católica have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 8 Liga Pro away fixtures - a 25% away win rate. They score an average of 0.9 goals per away match.