Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Primera Division2026-05-11 · 23:00
Deportivo Maldonado€7.01mAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
Boston River€8.03mWelcome to the Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, where Deportivo Maldonado hosts Boston River. This fixture showcases two determined sides from Uruguay's top flight, a league renowned for its fierce competition and tactical battles. While neither club boasts a century of titles, their intense rivalry and commitment to competitive football ensure a passionate atmosphere, reflecting the ambition to climb the domestic standings. Our advanced models project Deportivo Maldonado as clear favorites with a 64.51% win probability. Their projected 53% possession indicates they will dictate tempo, enabling a superior 1.31 Expected Goals. Boston River (0.56 xG, 47% possession) will likely absorb pressure, seeking sharp counter-attacking moments. Maldonado's ability to convert this statistical dominance into decisive attacking output will be paramount for securing a comfortable home victory.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Racing | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 | WDL |
| 2 |  Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 | WWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 26 | DLW |
| 4 |  Peñarol | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | 24 | DLD |
| 5 |  Central Español | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 24 | WLW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 21 | DWD |
| 7 |  Defensor Sporting | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 12:9 | 21 | DWD |
| 8 |  Montevideo City Torque | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:15 | 20 | DWD |
| 9 |  Nacional | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 19 | WLL |
| 10 |  Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | 18 | WLL |
| 11 |  Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:21 | 18 | WLD |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:16 | 17 | LLW |
| 13 | Boston River | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:18 | 17 | WLW |
| 14 |  Juventud | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:21 | 12 | DDW |
| 15 |  Atlético Progreso | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 10 | WLL |
| 16 |  Cerro | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | 10 | DLL |
Deportivo MaldonadoBoston RiverUpcoming in Primera Division
League →Recent results in Primera Division
League →- 16 MayPeñarol2 – 1Liverpool
- 16 MayJuventud2 – 0Atlético Progreso
- 16 MayBoston River4 – 1Cerro
- 15 MayMontevideo City Torque1 – 2Nacional
- 11 MayCerro Largo2 – 3Peñarol
- 10 MayNacional4 – 0Cerro
- 10 MayMontevideo City Torque2 – 1Atlético Progreso
- 10 MayDefensor Sporting1 – 2Juventud
- 9 MayCentral Español2 – 0Racing
- 9 MayDanubio0 – 1Albion
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.