Mogi Mirim vs São Carlos — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Paulista Série B2026-05-23 · 21:00
Mogi MirimN/AAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
São Carlos€7.53mWelcome to the Estádio Mogi Mirim, a ground steeped in the passionate football culture of the interior of São Paulo. While both Mogi Mirim and São Carlos may not boast the national acclaim of giants, they represent proud traditions within Brazilian football, often engaging in spirited contests that define regional pride and push for advancement. Today promises another chapter in their ongoing narrative. Our advanced statistical model paints a clear picture. With São Carlos holding an overwhelming 61.56% expected win probability and a dominant 84% expected possession share, they are projected to dictate proceedings. Their superior xG capability of 1.35 compared to Mogi Mirim's 0.89 suggests a significant attacking threat. Expect São Carlos to control the tempo, creating the bulk of the scoring opportunities and ultimately securing victory.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independente SP | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | 15 | WWW |
| 2 |  Itaquaquecetuba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 13 | WDW |
| 3 |  Matonense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 12 | WWW |
| 4 | José Bonifácio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 11 | WDD |
| 5 | Mauá | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 11 | WDW |
| 6 |  Flamengo SP | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 | WDW |
| 7 | Guarulhos | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 9 | LWW |
| 8 | Tupã | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | 9 | WWW |
| 9 | Mauaense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 | WWD |
| 10 | Assisense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 | WDD |
| 11 |  América SP | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 8 | LWD |
| 12 | Santacruzense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 7 | LWD |
| 13 |  Osasco Audax | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 7 | WDL |
| 14 | São Carlos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 | LLD |
| 15 | Paulínia FU | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 | WDL |
| 16 | Manthiqueira | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:10 | 5 | LWD |
| 17 |  Votoraty | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 4 | LLW |
| 18 | União Mogi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 4 | LLL |
| 19 | Paulinense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:11 | 4 | LDL |
| 20 | Mogi Mirim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Santa Fé SP | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | 3 | LLL |
| 22 | Riopretano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 | LLD |
| 23 | Barcelona EC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:9 | 0 | LLL |
| 24 |  Catanduvense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:17 | 0 | LLL |
Mogi MirimSão CarlosUpcoming in Paulista Série B
League →- 23 MayAssisense0 – 0América SP
- 23 MayMauaense0 – 1Itaquaquecetuba
- 23 MayBarcelona EC0 – 2União Mogi
- 23 MayManthiqueira0 – 2Mauá
- 23 MayFlamengo SP1 – 0Votoraty
- 24 MayRiopretano0 – 0Santa Fé SP
- 24 MayMatonense1 – 3Independente SP
- 24 MayCatanduvense0 – 4Santacruzense
- 24 MayOsasco Audax1 – 0Guarulhos
- 24 MayPaulinense0 – 2Paulínia FU
Recent results in Paulista Série B
League →- 17 MayPaulinense1 – 7Guarulhos
- 17 MayJosé Bonifácio1 – 1América SP
- 17 MayItaquaquecetuba4 – 1União Mogi
- 17 MayRiopretano1 – 1Assisense
- 17 MayCatanduvense0 – 4Independente SP
- 16 MayBarcelona EC1 – 2Mauá
- 16 MayMauaense2 – 2Manthiqueira
- 16 MayMogi Mirim1 – 2Matonense
- 16 MaySão Carlos1 – 1Santacruzense
- 16 MayFlamengo SP2 – 1Osasco Audax
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.