São Carlos - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · Paulista Série B
Recent form (last 5)
São Carlos have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats across their last 6 Paulista Série B matches (33% win rate) - a statistically neutral performance trend over this sample. That return of 8 points from a possible 18 is consistent with mid-table efficiency over this sample.
League Standings · Paulista Série B · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Itaquaquecetuba | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24:7 | 28 | |
| 2 |  Independente SP | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 39:7 | 27 | |
| 3 |  Matonense | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 25 | |
| 4 | José Bonifácio | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 17:4 | 25 | |
| 5 |  Flamengo SP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 24 | |
| 6 |  América SP | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13:7 | 20 | |
| 7 | Mauá | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:17 | 19 | |
| 8 | Paulinense | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10:14 | 19 | |
| 9 | União Mogi | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 17 | |
| 10 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 11 | São Carlos | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:12 | 15 | |
| 12 | Santacruzense | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 15 | |
| 13 |  Osasco Audax | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:9 | 15 | |
| 14 | Assisense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:14 | 14 | |
| 15 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 13 | |
| 16 |  Tupã | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | 13 | |
| 17 |  Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 12 | |
| 18 | Manthiqueira | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:18 | 12 | |
| 19 | Paulínia FU | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:17 | 10 | |
| 20 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 | |
| 21 |  Votoraty | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 | |
| 22 | Santa Fé SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 | |
| 23 | Barcelona EC | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 | |
| 24 |  Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Team Analysis · Paulista Série B
Over their last 10 Paulista Série B fixtures, São Carlos have scored 17 goals (1.7 per match) - productive attacking output consistent with mid-table averages - and conceded 12 (1.2 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency within acceptable thresholds. A goal difference of +5 across this sample reflects a broadly balanced team that creates more than it concedes.
Home fixture record (last 5 Paulista Série B matches): 2W–1D–2L - 40% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 1W–2D–2L - 20% away win rate. A moderate home/away differential is typical across most leagues and is reflected in the model's venue-adjusted probability calculations.
Statistical Modelling · Paulista Série B
StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving São Carlos in Paulista Série B. The next modelled fixture is São Carlos away against Paulinense on Sun, 5 July 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.
Over São Carlos's last 6 Paulista Série B matches, the observed outcome mix is 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats (33% win rate). That sample averages 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns São Carlos a 54% win probability (full split: 18% home · 28% draw · 54% away) - a direct comparison point against the 33% win rate from recent completed matches.
The current simulated scoreline for São Carlos vs Paulinense is 1–1 (1 for São Carlos, 1 for Paulinense)
StatsBrain's São Carlos modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Upcoming Match Projections · São Carlos
1Recent Results · São Carlos
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 2.25 | 0.75 | 3.00 |
| Average Corners | 2.75 | 2.50 | 5.25 |
Paulista Série B8Frequently Asked Questions · São Carlos
9What is São Carlos's recent form?
Across their last 6 Paulista Série B fixtures, São Carlos have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats - a 33% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does São Carlos score per game?
São Carlos have scored an average of 1.70 goals per match across their last 10 Paulista Série B fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.20 goals per game.
What is São Carlos's home record?
In their last 10 home Paulista Série B fixtures, São Carlos have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 - a 40% home win rate. They average 2.1 goals per home match over that period.
What is São Carlos's away record?
Away from home, São Carlos have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 Paulista Série B away fixtures - a 10% away win rate. They score an average of 0.8 goals per away match.