Pachuca vs Toluca — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Liga MX2026-05-11 · 02:00
Pachuca€49.60mAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
Toluca€84.95mWelcome to the iconic Estadio Hidalgo, a cauldron of passion where Pachuca's 'Tuzos' host Toluca's formidable 'Diablos Rojos'. This fixture unites two Liga MX powerhouses, boasting rich histories and multiple domestic and continental titles. The stage is set for a truly electrifying encounter, steeped in tradition and rivalry. Our advanced models project Toluca as distinct favorites (59.62% win probability), poised to dominate proceedings with 57% possession and a formidable 2.11 xG. Pachuca (43% possession, 0.81 xG) is expected to absorb significant pressure. The match's outcome hinges on Toluca's clinical finishing against Pachuca's defensive resilience.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 41 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 78:41 | 77 | LWL |
| 2 |  Cruz Azul | 39 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 71:44 | 77 | DWW |
| 3 |  Tigres UANL | 41 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 75:42 | 72 | DWW |
| 4 |  Guadalajara | 37 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 65:45 | 66 | DDL |
| 5 |  América | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 58:41 | 63 | WLD |
| 6 | Pachuca | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 51:43 | 59 | LLW |
| 7 |  Pumas UNAM | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 62:48 | 58 | WWD |
| 8 | Monterrey | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 61:58 | 55 | LWL |
| 9 | Tijuana | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 54:46 | 53 | DWD |
| 10 | Juárez | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 57:66 | 46 | LLW |
| 11 |  Atlas | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 42:56 | 43 | DWL |
| 12 | Querétaro | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36:50 | 40 | DDW |
| 13 | Necaxa | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 43:57 | 35 | DDL |
| 14 | León | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 36:63 | 35 | WLL |
| 15 | Atlético San Luis | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 49:56 | 34 | LWL |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 42:66 | 32 | LLW |
| 17 | Mazatlán | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 42:66 | 29 | DWL |
| 18 | Puebla | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 34:68 | 25 | LLL |
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