El Nacional - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · Liga Pro
Recent form (last 5)
El Nacional have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats across their last 6 Liga Pro matches (33% win rate) - a below-average performance trend over this sample. That return of 6 points from a possible 18 represents a below-average points conversion rate - a factor the StatsBrain model flags as a short-term performance concern.
League Standings · Liga Pro · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 37 | |
| 2 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 27 | |
| 3 |  Universidad Católica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 | |
| 4 |  Barcelona Guayaquil | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 26 | |
| 5 |  Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 | |
| 6 |  LDU Quito | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:13 | 24 | |
| 7 |  Orense | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 22 | |
| 8 |  Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | 22 | |
| 9 |  Técnico Universitario | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 20 | |
| 10 |  Macará | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | 20 | |
| 11 |  Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | 19 | |
| 12 |  Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | 18 | |
| 13 |  Leones del Norte | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Libertad | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | 17 | |
| 15 |  Delfin | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | 16 | |
| 16 |  Manta | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7:19 | 12 |
Team Analysis · Liga Pro
Over their last 10 Liga Pro fixtures, El Nacional have scored 12 goals (1.2 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 24 (2.4 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency below league average, indicating structural vulnerabilities. A negative goal difference of -12 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.
Home fixture record (last 5 Liga Pro matches): 3W–0D–2L - 60% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 0W–2D–3L - 0% away win rate. The pronounced gap between home and away win rates signals a strong home advantage - a variable that StatsBrain's location-adjusted model weights heavily.
Statistical Modelling · Liga Pro
StatsBrain's El Nacional modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Recent Results · El Nacional
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 2.75 | 1.00 | 3.75 |
| Average Corners | 2.75 | 5.63 | 8.38 |
Frequently Asked Questions · El Nacional
8What is El Nacional's recent form?
Across their last 6 Liga Pro fixtures, El Nacional have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats - a 33% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does El Nacional score per game?
El Nacional have scored an average of 1.20 goals per match across their last 10 Liga Pro fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 2.40 goals per game.
What is El Nacional's home record?
In their last 10 home Liga Pro fixtures, El Nacional have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 - a 40% home win rate. They average 1.1 goals per home match over that period.
What is El Nacional's away record?
Away from home, El Nacional have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 Liga Pro away fixtures - a 20% away win rate. They score an average of 1.0 goals per away match.