Louisville City - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · USL Championship
Recent form (last 5)
Louisville City have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats across their last 6 USL Championship matches (17% win rate) - a below-average performance trend over this sample. That return of 5 points from a possible 18 represents a below-average points conversion rate - a factor the StatsBrain model flags as a short-term performance concern.
League Standings · USL Championship · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23:8 | 31 | |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30:19 | 26 | |
| 3 |  Orange County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:15 | 26 | |
| 4 |  San Antonio | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20:17 | 24 | |
| 5 |  Detroit City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 21 | |
| 6 |  Oakland Roots | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 23:20 | 21 | |
| 7 | Louisville City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:22 | 21 | |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 | |
| 9 |  Tulsa Roughnecks | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 | |
| 10 |  Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Hartford Athletic | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10:10 | 18 | |
| 12 |  New Mexico United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 18 | |
| 13 |  Phoenix Rising | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Miami FC II | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:23 | 17 | |
| 15 |  Sacramento Republic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 16 | |
| 16 |  Colorado Springs | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 16 | |
| 17 |  El Paso Locomotive | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:23 | 16 | |
| 18 |  Rhode Island | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21:15 | 15 | |
| 19 |  Las Vegas Lights | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:23 | 15 | |
| 20 |  Monterey Bay | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 | |
| 21 | Lexington | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:14 | 13 | |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 23 |  Loudoun United | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15:26 | 10 | |
| 24 | Brooklyn FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 | |
| 25 | Sporting JAX | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17:39 | 3 |
Team Analysis · USL Championship
Over their last 10 USL Championship fixtures, Louisville City have scored 13 goals (1.3 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 18 (1.8 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency below league average, indicating structural vulnerabilities. A negative goal difference of -5 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.
Home fixture record (last 5 USL Championship matches): 1W–1D–3L - 20% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 1W–2D–2L - 20% away win rate. The similarity between home and away performance suggests Louisville City are broadly consistent regardless of location.
Statistical Modelling · USL Championship
StatsBrain's Louisville City modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Recent Results · Louisville City
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.25 | 1.63 | 2.88 |
| Average Corners | 6.50 | 4.00 | 10.50 |
USL Championship8Louisville CityPhoenix RisingBirmingham LegionLouisville CityMiami FC IILouisville CityDetroit CityLouisville CityFrequently Asked Questions · Louisville City
8What is Louisville City's recent form?
Across their last 6 USL Championship fixtures, Louisville City have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats - a 17% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Louisville City score per game?
Louisville City have scored an average of 1.30 goals per match across their last 10 USL Championship fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.80 goals per game.
What is Louisville City's home record?
In their last 10 home USL Championship fixtures, Louisville City have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 - a 50% home win rate. They average 1.3 goals per home match over that period.
What is Louisville City's away record?
Away from home, Louisville City have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 USL Championship away fixtures - a 50% away win rate. They score an average of 1.6 goals per away match.