Tampa Bay Rowdies - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · USL Championship
Recent form (last 5)
Tampa Bay Rowdies have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat across their last 6 USL Championship matches (67% win rate) - a statistically positive performance trend over this sample. That return of 13 points from a possible 18 reflects an above-average conversion rate over this period.
League Standings · USL Championship · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23:8 | 31 | |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30:19 | 26 | |
| 3 |  Orange County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:15 | 26 | |
| 4 |  San Antonio | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20:17 | 24 | |
| 5 |  Detroit City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 21 | |
| 6 |  Oakland Roots | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 23:20 | 21 | |
| 7 |  Louisville City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:22 | 21 | |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 | |
| 9 |  Tulsa Roughnecks | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 | |
| 10 |  Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Hartford Athletic | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10:10 | 18 | |
| 12 |  New Mexico United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 18 | |
| 13 |  Phoenix Rising | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Miami FC II | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:23 | 17 | |
| 15 |  Sacramento Republic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 16 | |
| 16 |  Colorado Springs | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 16 | |
| 17 |  El Paso Locomotive | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:23 | 16 | |
| 18 |  Rhode Island | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21:15 | 15 | |
| 19 |  Las Vegas Lights | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:23 | 15 | |
| 20 |  Monterey Bay | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 | |
| 21 | Lexington | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:14 | 13 | |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 23 |  Loudoun United | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15:26 | 10 | |
| 24 | Brooklyn FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 | |
| 25 | Sporting JAX | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17:39 | 3 |
Team Analysis · USL Championship
Over their last 10 USL Championship fixtures, Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored 15 goals (1.5 per match) - productive attacking output consistent with mid-table averages - and conceded 7 (0.7 per match), reflecting a defensively efficient record, placing them in the upper tier for goals conceded. A goal difference of +8 across this sample is a strong positive indicator of both attacking threat and defensive solidity.
Home fixture record (last 5 USL Championship matches): 2W–2D–1L - 40% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 3W–2D–0L - 60% away win rate. The similarity between home and away performance suggests Tampa Bay Rowdies are broadly consistent regardless of location.
Statistical Modelling · USL Championship
StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving Tampa Bay Rowdies in USL Championship. The next modelled fixture is Tampa Bay Rowdies at home to Lexington on Sun, 5 July 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.
Over Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 6 USL Championship matches, the observed outcome mix is 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (67% win rate). That sample averages 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns Tampa Bay Rowdies a 72% win probability (full split: 72% home · 25% draw · 3% away) - a direct comparison point against the 67% win rate from recent completed matches.
The current simulated scoreline for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington is 1–0 (1 for Tampa Bay Rowdies, 0 for Lexington) with a 72% model confidence score.
StatsBrain's Tampa Bay Rowdies modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Upcoming Match Projections · Tampa Bay Rowdies
1Recent Results · Tampa Bay Rowdies
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 0.88 | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Average Corners | 5.50 | 3.88 | 9.38 |
USL Championship8Brooklyn FCTampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay RowdiesLouisville CityTampa Bay RowdiesNew Mexico UnitedRhode IslandTampa Bay RowdiesFrequently Asked Questions · Tampa Bay Rowdies
9What is Tampa Bay Rowdies's recent form?
Across their last 6 USL Championship fixtures, Tampa Bay Rowdies have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat - a 67% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Tampa Bay Rowdies score per game?
Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored an average of 1.50 goals per match across their last 10 USL Championship fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 0.70 goals per game.
What is Tampa Bay Rowdies's home record?
In their last 10 home USL Championship fixtures, Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 - a 60% home win rate. They average 2.2 goals per home match over that period.
What is Tampa Bay Rowdies's away record?
Away from home, Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 USL Championship away fixtures - a 60% away win rate. They score an average of 1.5 goals per away match.