MLS Next Pro

MLS Next Pro produces an above-average scoring rate of 3.45 total goals per match across tracked fixtures in the 2026 MLS Next Pro season. That equates to roughly 1.73 goals per team per game - a baseline figure used by StatsBrain to calibrate expected-goals output for every fixture in the division. Corner frequency averages 9.37 per game, reflecting the typical territorial and set-piece volume in this league.

Home teams average 1.85 goals per game in MLS Next Pro compared with 1.59 for away sides - indicatinga consistent home-scoring advantage that the model weights positively for home-side expected goals. This home/away split is incorporated into StatsBrain's pre-match simulation engine for every MLS Next Pro fixture.

At the foot of the table, Inter Miami II sit 30th with 5 points from 13 matches (goals 12:33). MLS Next Pro operates a playoff-based format rather than traditional relegation - but bottom-table form remains a key indicator of teams struggling to compete for postseason positions.

Austin II carry the strongest recent form in MLS Next Pro with 5 wins in their last 5 league games (sequence: W-W-W-W-W). Short-term form sequences like this are weighted heavily in StatsBrain's fixture probability distributions. Conversely, Huntsville City (L-L-D-L-L in last 5) sit among the division's coldest teams over the same window.

StatsBrain publishes 7 active pre-match statistical projections for the 2026 MLS Next Pro season. The next fixture on the calendar is FC Cincinnati II vs Inter Miami II. 1 of these 7 fixtures carry a model confidence score of 75 or above, indicating a clearer separation in the projected outcome distribution. Each linked match page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.

Over the last 20 completed MLS Next Pro fixtures tracked on StatsBrain, home sides won 50% (10/20), draws made up 20% and away wins 30%. Those matches averaged 3.40 goals per game - the season-wide tracked average is 3.45, so recent scoring is closely aligned with the longer sample. Across the current upcoming slate, the model assigns an average 43% home / 28% draw / 29% away probability split - a direct comparison point against the observed 50% / 20% / 30% outcome mix from recent results.

Simulated scorelines across the upcoming MLS Next Pro slate average 2.00 total goals per fixture, versus 3.45 from completed matches this season. The strongest current projection is Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance (79% model confidence, simulated scoreline 1 - 0, probability split 79% home · 21% draw · 0% away). The model's dominant signal for that fixture is: Awaiting Data.

StatsBrain's MLS Next Pro modelling layer combines league scoring baselines, home/away splits, standings position, recent form sequences and squad market values into large-scale Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are designed for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open any listed fixture for the complete projection breakdown, including expected goals and outcome probabilities.