Nacional vs Universitario — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
NacionalN/AAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
UniversitarioN/AWelcome to the iconic Estadio Gran Parque Central for this classic encounter! Nacional, steeped in Uruguayan footballing history with countless domestic titles, faces off against Universitario, a Peruvian giant boasting significant continental silverware. This is more than just a match; it's a clash of titans, resonating with decades of passionate support and intense rivalry. The atmosphere promises to be electric. Our data paints a clear picture: Universitario holds a significant advantage, projected with nearly 60% win probability. Their attacking prowess, evidenced by an expected goals capability of 1.55 to Nacional's 0.53, suggests they are the primary threat. While Nacional might see slightly more of the ball (51% possession projection), Universitario's clinical edge is the key differentiator. Expect Universitario to control the crucial moments and dictate proceedings, leading to a victory for the visitors.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 13 | WWW |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:8 | 13 | WWL |
| 3 | Independiente Medellín | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 13 | LWD |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 11 | LWL |
| 5 | Corinthians | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 | WWD |
| 6 | Independiente Rivadavia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 10 | WWD |
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 | LWW |
| 8 | Mirassol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 10 | WDW |
| 9 | Universidad Católica | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 | WWD |
| 10 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | 10 | LLW |
| 11 | Carabobo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 | WLW |
| 12 | Flamengo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 8 | WDD |
| 13 | Palmeiras | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 | WDW |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 | WDD |
| 15 | Juventud | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 | WDL |
| 16 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 7 | LLD |
| 17 | LDU Quito | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 | WLD |
| 18 | Cerro Porteño | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 | WDW |
| 19 | Independiente del Valle | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 | WWL |
| 20 | Platense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 7 | WDL |
| 21 | Estudiantes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 | WDD |
| 22 | 2 de Mayo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 | DDD |
| 23 | Deportivo Táchira | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 | WLW |
| 24 | O'Higgins | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 | LWL |
| 25 | Lanús | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 6 | WWL |
| 26 | UCV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 6 | LWL |
| 27 | Club Bolívar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 5 | WDL |
| 28 | Santa Fe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 5 | LDW |
| 29 | Fluminense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 | LDW |
| 30 | Botafogo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 | WDL |
| 31 | Universitario | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 | LWL |
| 32 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 | WLL |
| 33 | Argentinos Juniors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 | WL |
| 34 | Bahia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 | LW |
| 35 | The Strongest | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 | WL |
| 36 | Always Ready | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:6 | 3 | LWL |
| 37 | Nacional Potosí | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 | WL |
| 38 | Deportivo La Guaira | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 | DLD |
| 39 | Peñarol | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 | LLD |
| 40 | Guaraní | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | DL |
| 41 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | LD |
| 42 | Alianza Lima | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | LD |
| 43 | Junior FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | 1 | LLL |
| 44 | Cusco FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 | LLD |
| 45 | Huachipato | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 | LL |
| 46 | Libertad | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 | LLL |
Nacional
Universitario
Upcoming in Copa Libertadores
League →
Recent results in Copa Libertadores
League →- 20 May
Independiente del Valle4 – 1Libertad
- 20 May
Boca Juniors1 – 1Cruzeiro
- 20 May
Always Ready1 – 2Mirassol
- 20 May
Santa Fe2 – 1Platense
- 19 May
Fluminense2 – 1Club Bolívar
- 19 May
Rosario Central4 – 0UCV
- 19 May
Coquimbo Unido3 – 0Deportes Tolima
- 8 May
Independiente Medellín0 – 0Flamengo
- 8 May
Junior FC0 – 1Cerro Porteño
- 8 May
Coquimbo Unido2 – 1Universitario
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.











