Peñarol vs Corinthians — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
Copa Libertadores2026-05-22 · 03:30
PeñarolN/AAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
CorinthiansN/AWelcome to the legendary Estadio Campeón del Siglo, where two South American giants, Peñarol and Corinthians, lock horns. This fixture pulsates with the weight of history; Peñarol, an institution boasting over 50 league titles and multiple Libertadores crowns, faces a Corinthians side that, while younger, has carved its own impressive legacy with numerous national and international honours. The palpable intensity in Montevideo promises a spectacle. The data paints a fascinating picture. Corinthians are projected to hold a possession advantage of 55% to 45%, suggesting they might dictate the tempo. While Peñarol exhibits a slightly higher expected goals capability at 0.87 versus Corinthians' 0.76, the Corinthians hold a stronger expected win probability of 42.87%. This suggests a tightly contested encounter where efficiency in front of goal and defensive solidity for the Brazilian side could prove decisive.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportes Tolima | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:5 | 13 | LWW |
| 2 |  Independiente Medellín | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 13 | LWD |
| 3 |  Sporting Cristal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 11 | LWL |
| 4 | Corinthians | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 | WWD |
| 5 |  Independiente Rivadavia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 10 | WWD |
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 10 | WWW |
| 7 |  Universidad Católica | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 | WWD |
| 8 |  Barcelona Guayaquil | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | 10 | LLW |
| 9 | Carabobo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 | WLW |
| 10 |  Flamengo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 8 | WDD |
| 11 |  Palmeiras | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 | WDW |
| 12 | Juventud | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 | WDL |
| 13 |  LDU Quito | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 | WLD |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 | LWD |
| 15 |  Cerro Porteño | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 | WDW |
| 16 |  Cruzeiro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 | LWD |
| 17 |  Independiente del Valle | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 | WWL |
| 18 |  Coquimbo Unido | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 | WLW |
| 19 |  Platense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 | WWD |
| 20 |  Boca Juniors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 6 | WLL |
| 21 |  Estudiantes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 | WDD |
| 22 | 2 de Mayo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 | DDD |
| 23 | Deportivo Táchira | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 | WLW |
| 24 |  UCV | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 | LLW |
| 25 | O'Higgins | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 | LWL |
| 26 |  Lanús | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 6 | WWL |
| 27 |  Club Bolívar | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 5 | DWD |
| 28 | Botafogo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 | WDL |
| 29 |  Universitario | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 | LWL |
| 30 |  Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 | WLL |
| 31 |  Always Ready | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 3 | LLW |
| 32 | Argentinos Juniors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 | WL |
| 33 | Bahia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 | LW |
| 34 | The Strongest | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 | WL |
| 35 | Nacional Potosí | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 | WL |
| 36 |  Deportivo La Guaira | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 | DLD |
| 37 |  Santa Fe | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 | LLD |
| 38 | Peñarol | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 | LLD |
| 39 |  Fluminense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 | LLD |
| 40 | Guaraní | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | DL |
| 41 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | LD |
| 42 | Alianza Lima | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | LD |
| 43 |  Junior FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | 1 | LLL |
| 44 |  Cusco FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 | LLD |
| 45 | Huachipato | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 | LL |
| 46 |  Libertad | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 | LLL |
PeñarolCorinthiansUpcoming in Copa Libertadores
League →- 21 MayNacional0 – 1Universitario
- 21 MayLDU Quito2 – 0Lanús
- 21 MayPalmeiras0 – 0Cerro Porteño
- 21 MayFlamengo1 – 1Estudiantes
- 21 MayJunior FC0 – 1Sporting Cristal
- 21 MayCusco FC0 – 2Independiente Medellín
- 22 MayDeportivo La Guaira0 – 2Independiente Rivadavia
- 22 MayUniversidad Católica0 – 1Barcelona Guayaquil
Recent results in Copa Libertadores
League →- 20 MayIndependiente del Valle4 – 1Libertad
- 20 MayBoca Juniors1 – 1Cruzeiro
- 20 MayAlways Ready1 – 2Mirassol
- 20 MaySanta Fe2 – 1Platense
- 19 MayFluminense2 – 1Club Bolívar
- 19 MayRosario Central4 – 0UCV
- 19 MayCoquimbo Unido3 – 0Deportes Tolima
- 8 MayIndependiente Medellín0 – 0Flamengo
- 8 MayJunior FC0 – 1Cerro Porteño
- 8 MayCoquimbo Unido2 – 1Universitario
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.