Cerro - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · Primera Division
Recent form (last 5)
Cerro have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats across their last 6 Primera Division matches (17% win rate) - a below-average performance trend over this sample. That return of 3 points from a possible 18 represents a below-average points conversion rate - a factor the StatsBrain model flags as a short-term performance concern.
League Standings · Primera Division · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 39 | |
| 2 |  Racing | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 37 | |
| 3 |  Peñarol | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 36 | |
| 4 |  Albion | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 32 | |
| 5 |  Nacional | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 31 | |
| 6 |  Central Español | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 31 | |
| 7 |  Montevideo City Torque | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 29 | |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 22:19 | 26 | |
| 9 |  Cerro Largo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 24 | |
| 10 |  Wanderers | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:24 | 24 | |
| 11 |  Defensor Sporting | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | 23 | |
| 12 |  Boston River | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | 21 | |
| 13 |  Danubio | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:26 | 19 | |
| 14 |  Juventud | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:29 | 18 | |
| 15 |  Atlético Progreso | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | 13 | |
| 16 | Cerro | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | 13 |
Team Analysis · Primera Division
Over their last 10 Primera Division fixtures, Cerro have scored 6 goals (0.6 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 17 (1.7 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency below league average, indicating structural vulnerabilities. A negative goal difference of -11 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.
Home fixture record (last 5 Primera Division matches): 2W–1D–2L - 40% home win rate; away fixture record (last 5 matches): 0W–1D–4L - 0% away win rate. The pronounced gap between home and away win rates signals a strong home advantage - a variable that StatsBrain's location-adjusted model weights heavily.
Statistical Modelling · Primera Division
StatsBrain's Cerro modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Recent Results · Cerro
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 1.88 | 0.63 | 2.50 |
| Average Corners | 3.88 | 4.13 | 8.00 |
Frequently Asked Questions · Cerro
8What is Cerro's recent form?
Across their last 6 Primera Division fixtures, Cerro have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats - a 17% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Cerro score per game?
Cerro have scored an average of 0.60 goals per match across their last 10 Primera Division fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.70 goals per game.
What is Cerro's home record?
In their last 10 home Primera Division fixtures, Cerro have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 - a 30% home win rate. They average 0.6 goals per home match over that period.
What is Cerro's away record?
Away from home, Cerro have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 Primera Division away fixtures - a 10% away win rate. They score an average of 0.6 goals per away match.